Who you got in the main event tonight? Lewis only has the haymaker chance to win in my opinion. I think Cyril Gane is the goods. I think when all the dust settles, he'll be the UFC champ. I think he's a naturally bigger version of Jon Jones. I can see a scenario where they are the last two standing.
I just don't know enough about either to make a choice. I tend toward Aldo for the co-main but haven't studied his opponent enough to make a bet. Aldo was extremely dominant in his day but his day is gone. Still competitive but once you hit the wall it's a toss-up. Same with Anderson Silva. Just unbeatable -- until he got beaten. Now just a run-of-the-mill gatekeeper.
When I say that I'm pretty good at predicting winners I should have qualified that. It's only when I feel confidant enough in my pick. Of course, I've been wrong, but when I was it was always by some kind of fluke. I had Holly Homes over Meisha Tate and Holly was winning all the way but that one slip up and Tate got her back and choked her out.
I actually learned a lot from BJ Penn's career. Of course, I was biased as he is from Hawaii but I always kept that in the back on mind to try to be more objective. But having known him since his Blue Belt days in the BJJ tournament circuit and closed-door scraps between rival students and clubs, he was a real genuine talent. Always love to fight and was a street fighter since he was a kid. But like a lot of athletes born with talent and didn't have to work as hard as others he was undisciplined and inclined to laziness. Not to mention that he love to party and loved his coke and alcohol. That takes its toll on the world stage and when in deep, deep waters can't draw in that extra "something-something" and why GSP, not as much as a talent, came out on top.
So it's not just how they look in Octagon but what kind of person they are. What are they made of? Watch BJ when he gets tired and things aren't going his way and compare that to say, a Tony Ferguson. With Ferguson, it's to the death. So the heart is always there and often that's enough to pull out the victory over a better man but when there's round and time limits other factors have to be taken unto consideration.