The only advantage Rich has in this fight is his size and power. Anderson has better and cleaner striking, better footwork, a slight reach advantage, and a better chin. They are pretty even in terms of the groundgame, but I think Rich's wrestling is a little weak as far as take down defense goes. Rich's only loss was to a southpaw, Anderson Silva is a southpaw, but, he can fight just as good out of the orthodox stance as well. Bottom line is, Anderson will pick him apart standing, straight strikes beat looping ones everytime. Plus, Rich as a champion, has been inactive for seven months due to his injuries, and he is getting thrown right back in the mix with one of the top fighters in that weightclass, this has to be in the back of Rich's mind. Rich's best bet would be to take Anderson down and use his size and strength to tire him out for a few rounds and then either go for the kill in the fourth or fifth or get a Decision. If he doesen't he will get his ass handed to him and alot of tuf noobs will cry once again. I would say 60-40 advantage Spider.