Ohio, VA, and Florida are leaning to Obama. He pretty much has enough electoral votes to win. Romney had better full some diamonds from his ass if he wants to win because with the immigration thing, he's giving up a lot of ground
No, he doesn't. He's under 50% in nearly ALL of those swing states and statistically tied (within the margin of error) in most.
Again, you leave out the undecided voters. In the last 8 elections involving an incumbent, 7 of them lost ALL of the undecided/swing voters. The lone exception was Bush (43).
In case you forgot, he's losing white working-class voters by the truckload. If Romney gets 62% of them on election day, it's all over but the crying, no matter how much Obama panders to Latinos, gays, or whoever.
And that's under the gracious assumption that Latinos, gays, and especially black people match the numbers (sheer numbers, not percentages) of 2008, which is highly unlikely.
ObamaCare has been LOATHED for two years. It will not become popular in four months. ObamaCare got the Dems clobbered in 2010; history may repeat itself.