Still, early days...... 
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Hillary Clinton has 81% chance of defeating Trump, Nate Silver predicts by Tom McCarthy , Wed 29 Jun 2016 22.46 BST
Famed analyst accurately predicted state outcomes that led to Obama win in 2012 election but failed to foresee Trump becoming the Republican nominee "
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/jun/29/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-nate-silver-poll-prediction"
Key model predicts big election win for Clinton by Heather Long @byHeatherLong
November 1, 2016: 9:32 AM ET
A model that has correctly predicted the winner of every U.S. presidential race since Ronald Reagan in 1980 is forecasting a big victory for Hillary Clinton.
Clinton is expected to get 332 electoral votes, while Trump is predicted to get just 206, according to the Moody's Analytics model, which is based on three economic and three political factors.
Overall, the U.S. is growing and that favors Clinton. Most Americans can feel their pocketbooks getting better. Moody's predicts key swing states -- Florida, Ohio, Colorado and Pennsylvania -- all going blue this year.
But here's what really tips the model heavily toward Clinton: Cheap gas and President Obama's high approval rating. "
https://money.cnn.com/2016/11/01/news/economy/hillary-clinton-win-forecast-moodys-analytics/