Please say this is tongue-in-cheek!!
Why the fuck are the Republicans even trying to run against Obama? For the pure sport of it?
Anyone that doesn't think Obama will be re-elected hands down is delusional.
Black vote? CHECK
So what! The black vote always goes for the Democrat. It didn't help Gore or Kerry. Plus, the novelty of the first black president has waned. A black man is in the Oval Office. YET, unemployment for black people is at levels, not seen since Depression years.
Lationo vote? CHECK
Not necessarily!! Remember that Bush got a signficant portion of Latino votes in 2004 (40% by poll estimates). Plus, Latinos from Cuba and other places (besides Mexico) don't lockstep for the Dems, especially in "red" states or those that Obama just flipped "blue".
And, as 333386 said elsewhere, many of these black and Latino voters are in states that Obama (or any Dem) would win easily anyway. The electoral college negates the numbers game there.
First time young idealistic liberal voters? CHECK
Those first time idealistic voters are getting A REALITY CHECK!! All those rich people that the liberals keep demonizing are EMPLOYERS. When these college kids have to move back home with Momma and Daddy and have loans out the anus, but no gainful employment, they'll see just how much "Hope and Change" don't pay the bills. Plus, unemployment among teens is at near-record high (especially among black teens).
Billion dollar campaign? CHECK
His numbers are sort of low right now...but he's going to pull a magic rabbit out of his hat to get the economy moving a bit and call it a success. He's going to bring some troops home and say he did what he promised in his first campaign.
Mark my words
Obama will need every penny he can get. Yet, that still might not be enough. See my thread on Obama's poll numbers. Lest we forget, there are these voters called white people that will have a say in the matter (especially those of the independent stripe).
Bottom line: If this economy continues to worsen, Obama's goose is all but cooked!!