Intrade?? Bwahahahahahaha!
They have a good track record. They're less about "oh, i'm mad that kerry dbag is windsurfing" and more about how things really work in the world.
Those people put millions of $ down on their beliefs, and have access to info that our media doesn't always show us.
Intrade is serious business. If they say romney had a 39% chance of winning, they are right. They're taking the politics OUT of things, and just basing it on statistics, probability and reality. ANd since they have a track record of being right, while getbiggers are usually based solely on emotion and "oh, gallup moved 2 points, its all over " (myself included).... I tend to trust them more than msnbc's latest tracking poll.