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Getbig Main Boards => Gossip & Opinions => Topic started by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 06:19:27 AM

Title: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 06:19:27 AM
I know it’s a political topic but it’s mainstream enough to belong on the main page. While there’s always the possibility of something unforeseen happening, I’m ready to go with this map as my prediction.

But what about the polls? I’ll address that in another post.

Anybody else?

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: OneMoreRep on October 13, 2020, 06:27:19 AM
I know it’s a political topic but it’s mainstream enough to belong on the main page. While there’s always the possibility of something unforeseen happening, I’m ready to go with this map as my prediction.

But what about the polls? I’ll address that in another post.

Anybody else?

I don't know.

If I had to bet, I'd say Biden based off of statistical data.

"1"
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: R.A.M. on October 13, 2020, 06:39:22 AM
How does one take part in a poll? 

Seems like unemployed panhandlers are the only individuals doing them.

Please correct me if I'm wrong.  I've never been asked to do one, or know of anyone.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 13, 2020, 06:43:50 AM
I remember thinking there is no way in hell Obama gets re-elected. Incumbency is a powerful thing, just look at history.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: robcguns on October 13, 2020, 06:48:55 AM
I’m still saying Trump although it sounds as if Biden is doing good but I don’t buy the bullshit.They said trump had no chance against Hilary so I’m believing trump still takes it.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Andy Griffin on October 13, 2020, 07:00:20 AM
I know it’s a political topic but it’s mainstream enough to belong on the main page. While there’s always the possibility of something unforeseen happening, I’m ready to go with this map as my prediction.

But what about the polls? I’ll address that in another post.

Anybody else?

I agree on President Trump winning, but I still see former VP Biden taking Maine, New Hampshire, and Nevada.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 07:19:47 AM
I agree on President Trump winning, but I still see former VP Biden taking Maine, New Hampshire, and Nevada.

I was on the fence about Nevada until I saw Biden’s appearance there in which the campaign hired a shitty mariachi band. That pathetic pandering tells me that they’re very concerned about the Hispanic vote.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 07:21:54 AM
How does one take part in a poll? 

Seems like unemployed panhandlers are the only individuals doing them.

Please correct me if I'm wrong.  I've never been asked to do one, or know of anyone.

They tend to over sample women as they are more likely to pick up the phone and take the survey. That’s why the polls tend to be more accurate when a Democrat is a big favorite.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 07:23:03 AM
I remember thinking there is no way in hell Obama gets re-elected. Incumbency is a powerful thing, just look at history.

A lot of right leaning people told me that Romney was going to win. I never bought it for a second. Incumbency being one of the reasons.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: funk51 on October 13, 2020, 07:23:50 AM
no matter what an old guy is going to win.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 07:27:16 AM
no matter what an old guy is going to win.

Only one. Which?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: IroNat on October 13, 2020, 07:56:06 AM
Trump wins by the Electoral College vote...again.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Palumboism on October 13, 2020, 08:30:47 AM
How does one take part in a poll? 

Seems like unemployed panhandlers are the only individuals doing them.

Please correct me if I'm wrong.  I've never been asked to do one, or know of anyone.

They call your phone number.  I just say no thank you and hang up.  That's probably why Trump is polling so low.  :D
 
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Palumboism on October 13, 2020, 08:33:12 AM
I know it’s a political topic but it’s mainstream enough to belong on the main page. While there’s always the possibility of something unforeseen happening, I’m ready to go with this map as my prediction.

But what about the polls? I’ll address that in another post.

Anybody else?

You don't even have Biden winning all the states Hillary won?  Is incumbency that strong?



Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: R.A.M. on October 13, 2020, 08:49:33 AM
They call your phone number.  I just say no thank you and hang up.  That's probably why Trump is polling so low.  :D

I don't take calls from unknown numbers. Don't have time. I got a life and job, etc.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 09:00:40 AM
You don't even have Biden winning all the states Hillary won?  Is incumbency that strong?

I have Trump winning all the states he won in 2016 + NH, NV & MN.

It’s not just incumbency. It’s also greater enthusiasm, new voter registration totals and Biden being a complete shit candidate.


Here’s my 2016 Prediction. Trump ended up with 306. I was wrong about the popular because I didn’t realize California was so far gone. Should’ve checked with Coach and Chaos. That said, the EV is all that counts.


Trump wins General by 4%
Gets 310 in Electoral.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Body-Buildah on October 13, 2020, 09:12:47 AM
If you drive thru NH, Trump signs outnumber Biden signs 20 to 1.
May not mean anything, but I see more in VT as well, similar numbers.

In the past, NH (once largely conservative) became a demtard state because of the libtard Mass-Holes who moved to NH from MA.
(MA is so brutally libtarded, its sickening, though the violent protests I think are few). (Almost 80% White).

Things seem different this time around, barely any Sleepy Joe signs anywhere.

Again, may not mean a thing.

Massachusetts Demographics
According to the most recent ACS, the racial composition of Massachusetts was:

White: 78.48%
Black or African American: 7.48%
Asian: 6.48%
Other race: 4.17%
Two or more races: 3.16%
Native American: 0.21%
Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander: 0.03%

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 09:26:45 AM
Regarding Pollls, I didn’t write this, but it’s a solid primer on what they’re all about. These polls are brought to you by the same entities that perpetrated the Russian Hoax and every other bullshit anti-Trump story. Do you really believe media outlets that bash Trump non-stop can produce unbiased polls?

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: BB on October 13, 2020, 10:22:20 AM
It will be like last time. Trump is a President very few like to admit they like in public, but will vote for in private. There is no buzz on Biden. No one shows up at his outdoor rallies, 95% of trends he gets going are negative (health questions, various gaffs, etc....), anytime he's in the Twitter top 10, he's out of there quickly (Trump is there all day). Kamala is getting far more attention.

Also, the Latin vote is swinging more Trump, the months of democrats embracing the riots have hurt them bad. Also a lot more black males are digging Trump. Lots hate voting for an old White man, but Trump is seen as "realer".

As for the polls? Who gives a shit. Dewey Defeats Truman, Hilary defeats Donald, etc.....   
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 10:24:14 AM
It will be like last time. Trump is a President very few like to admit they like in public, but will vote for in private. There is no buzz on Biden. No one shows up at his outdoor rallies, 95% of trends he gets going are negative (health questions, various gaffs, etc....), anytime he's in the Twitter top 10, he's out of there quickly (Trump is there all day). Kamala is getting far more attention.

Also, the Latin vote is swing more Trump, the months of democrats embracing the riots have hurt them bad. Also a lot more black males are digging Trump. Lots hate voting for an old White man, but Trump is seen as "realer".

As for the polls? Who gives a shit. Dewey Defeats Truman, Hilary defeats Donald, etc.....

Solid post.

This truly pathetic pandering is a sure sign that Biden is in trouble with the Hispanic vote:

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Humble Narcissist on October 13, 2020, 10:31:16 AM
Trump will win big on election night but then millions of mail in ballots will flood in all for Biden.  When most of those ballots are thrown out for being either too late or non verifiable addresses the left will use that to claim Trump is illegitimate and should be impeached.  More rioting and looting until the military is called in and then the media and left (same thing) will claim Trump is a dictator.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: OlympiaGym on October 13, 2020, 10:38:29 AM
Regarding Pollls, I didn’t write this, but it’s a solid primer on what they’re all about. These polls are brought to you by the same entities that perpetrated the Russian Hoax and every other bullshit anti-Trump story. Do you really believe media outlets that bash Trump non-stop can produce unbiased polls?

Is this for presidential elections only? Or every race that they poll? Is there any data to verify this in prior elections? Is this how Obama-McCain and Obama-Romney went down? I don’t recall. Forgive my skepticism but the author’s reference to the “demokkkrat” party makes me question his or her credibility somewhat.

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 10:48:20 AM
Is this for presidential elections only? Or every race that they poll? Is there any data to verify this in prior elections? Is this how Obama-McCain and Obama-Romney went down? I don’t recall. Forgive my skepticism but the author’s reference to the “demokkkrat” party makes me question his or her credibility somewhat.

The author is obviously biased. That doesn’t mean he’s wrong.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: OlympiaGym on October 13, 2020, 10:58:23 AM
The author is obviously biased. That doesn’t mean he’s wrong.

True. On the other hand, everyone knows the pollsters blew it in the 2016 presidential election. They concede as much and have even claimed to have changed their methodology. However, does that mean there is a provable conspiracy afoot as the author claims?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tommywishbone on October 13, 2020, 11:14:03 AM
Trump  536

Biden    0
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Rascal full on October 13, 2020, 11:48:04 AM
Trump will win big on election night but then millions of mail in ballots will flood in all for Biden.  When most of those ballots are thrown out for being either too late or non verifiable addresses the left will use that to claim Trump is illegitimate and should be impeached.  More rioting and looting until the military is called in and then the media and left (same thing) will claim Trump is a dictator.

I think this looks like a great prediction. When Trump wins the backlash from insane libs will be hilarious but also deranged and dangerous. They will use the mail in ballots for Biden as you said and use that to beat Trump for the next four years.

Empty vessels make the most noise and that is what it is with the biased MSM and nutty dems always sounding off but, thankfully, they are not in big numbers and I expect Trump to win resoundingly in reality.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 12:10:13 PM
True. On the other hand, everyone knows the pollsters blew it in the 2016 presidential election. They concede as much and have even claimed to have changed their methodology. However, does that mean there is a provable conspiracy afoot as the author claims?

The burden of proof that they fixed their flaws and their methodology is on them. Considering that there’s been a monkey wrench thrown into the election as a result of Covid, I find their claim highly doubtful.

Moreover, they could be wrong for an entirely different reason. I believe that mail in voting will be a colossal failure for the Democrats as it’s somewhat of a literacy test and it requires some work.

As far as conspiracies, is it a conspiracy that the liberal networks are biased towards Democrats? These are the same networks and media outlets that sponsor many of these polls.

Was it an accident that they were THIS wrong?

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Mayday on October 13, 2020, 01:08:27 PM
Trump will win big on election night but then millions of mail in ballots will flood in all for Biden.  When most of those ballots are thrown out for being either too late or non verifiable addresses the left will use that to claim Trump is illegitimate and should be impeached.  More rioting and looting until the military is called in and then the media and left (same thing) will claim Trump is a dictator.

I read what you wrote and i believe sadly you are probably correct.

If you guys were outside of the US you would realise just how insane your country looks to outsiders right now. A country cannot function properly with main 2 political parties so far apart. It only leads to fighting and sabotage. Look at the Middle East. Look at some of the asian countries who experienced unrest. All fought over large political differences.

You really need both parties replaced with a left and right side more centrered and closer together to stop all the BS.

But i guess the rest of the world will soon find out who Americans really are.......
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Rascal full on October 13, 2020, 01:21:26 PM
I read what you wrote and i believe sadly you are probably correct.

If you guys were outside of the US you would realise just how insane your country looks to outsiders right now. A country cannot function properly with main 2 political parties so far apart. It only leads to fighting and sabotage. Look at the Middle East. Look at some of the asian countries who experienced unrest. All fought over large political differences.

You really need both parties replaced with a left and right side more centrered and closer together to stop all the BS.

But i guess the rest of the world will soon find out who Americans really are.......

Yeah man, I am in England and always been very interested in all things America and love the country very much. I really hope Trump wins and some how the nutty dems become extinct! They are doing so much damage, both physical and mental, emotional, etc. Their warped ideology needs to be stamped out and not just in America, we got that shit running amok here and all over Europe.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 13, 2020, 01:58:12 PM
I know it’s a political topic but it’s mainstream enough to belong on the main page. While there’s always the possibility of something unforeseen happening, I’m ready to go with this map as my prediction.

But what about the polls? I’ll address that in another post.

Anybody else?

Here’s the ones in your map that are totally unrealistic for Trump, but subtracting them out still has him winning if he gets all the others you predict (several of which are iffy like Wisconsin)
Minnesota
Nevada
Maine
New Hampshire
Michigan (conceivable Trump could get it like last time but highly unlikely)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 13, 2020, 02:08:30 PM
a Democratic sweep.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Grape Ape on October 13, 2020, 02:12:51 PM
I can't figure it out.

Could see the Trump hatred being overwhelming, especially from the youth, and Biden winning.

Could see the silent majority being enormous, as many are disillusioned by the increased violence and lawlessness, and Trump winning.

No idea really.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Rascal full on October 13, 2020, 02:19:45 PM
I can't figure it out.

Could see the Trump hatred being overwhelming, especially from the youth, and Biden winning.

Could see the silent majority being enormous, as many are disillusioned by the increased violence and lawlessness, and Trump winning.

No idea really.

Oh shit, this raises a great point about the youth. Idealistic or just not mature enough to see sense I don't know, but this is a massive factor. I just hope in the future they don't lower the voting age like they want to do in UK.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 02:20:09 PM
I can't figure it out.

Could see the Trump hatred being overwhelming, especially from the youth, and Biden winning.

Could see the silent majority being enormous, as many are disillusioned by the increased violence and lawlessness, and Trump winning.

No idea really.

Typically, the hatred angle doesn’t win elections. More people go to the polls for a candidate they support than to vote against one they hate.

I believe that the number of people with an advanced stage of TDS is overestimated because most of those people are on the Internet all day stewing about Trump. Makes it seem as though there’s more.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 02:22:15 PM
Oh shit, this raises a great point about the youth. Idealistic or just not mature enough to see sense I don't know, but this is a massive factor. I just hope in the future they don't lower the voting age like they want to do in UK.

The youth vote figures to be down for two reasons. Colleges aren’t operating at a normal schedule so you don’t have the typical get out the vote campaigns there. Also, Biden is a decrepit  old man who’s not gonna inspire young people to vote as did Obama.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Walter Sobchak on October 13, 2020, 02:25:25 PM
Drive through middle America.

The Trump campaign signs in people’s front yards outnumber the Biden signs 10:1 from the California border to the east coast.

These are the people the leftist media never make any effort to poll.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Rascal full on October 13, 2020, 02:30:06 PM
The youth vote figures to be down for two reasons. Colleges aren’t operating at a normal schedule so you don’t have the typical get out the vote campaigns there. Also, Biden is a decrepit  old man who’s not gonna inspire young people to vote as did Obama.

Biden is boring and has no charisma but it is the youth and their mindless hatred for Trump that I am worried about. They virtue-signal their way into a constant state of indignation over everything he does, to show how caring and big hearted they are! The youth have been whipped up into a frenzy against Trump and this is their chance to get rid of him so it is a worrying element of this whole thing.

Drive through middle America.

The Trump campaign signs in people’s front yards outnumber the Biden signs 10:1 from the California border to the east coast.

These are the people the leftist media never make any effort to poll.

Yeah, this is the actual reality not the nonsense the MSM cooks up, thank God!
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 13, 2020, 02:39:47 PM
Typically, the hatred angle doesn’t win elections. More people go to the polls for a candidate they support than to vote against one they hate.

I believe that the number of people with an advanced stage of TDS is overestimated because most of those people are on the Internet all day stewing about Trump. Makes it seem as though there’s more.

It's a referendum on Trump.  (especially since the Dems put forth Biden and not Bernie.)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: ThisisOverload on October 13, 2020, 02:47:27 PM
It will be like last time. Trump is a President very few like to admit they like in public, but will vote for in private.

That's what i see more and more these days.  Here in New Mexico, you do see some Trump signs in the country areas, but in the Cities the polls are very blue.

A lot of people i know are very quiet about Trump, but will be voting for him.

I don't really care for him at all, but he's the lesser of two evils.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 13, 2020, 02:48:55 PM
afraid of the youth vote?  if Biden wins, it'll be largely because he does very well with seniors (compared to past Dem Prez nominees in the last 20 years.)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Teutonic Knight 1 on October 13, 2020, 03:05:53 PM
United States of America, November 4, 2o2o :

- Straw Girl :  :o :o :o   :'( :'( :'(

- PEDO DEFENDER :  :( :( :( >:( >:( >:(
 
- Hocoward :  :-[ :-[ :-[ :-\ :-\ :-\

- funk51 :  :-[ :-[ :-[ :-X :-X

- dearth : in memoriam ( + Nov., 3rd 2020)

- ilallin : drunk ........................ .............
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Moontrane on October 13, 2020, 03:21:41 PM
Oh shit, this raises a great point about the youth. Idealistic or just not mature enough to see sense I don't know, but this is a massive factor. I just hope in the future they don't lower the voting age like they want to do in UK.

18 states allow 17-year-olds to vote, if they're 18 by the next election.  CA is probably next to allow this.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: honest on October 13, 2020, 03:35:40 PM
Im not a fan of Trump he's an ego maniac, but I am a fan of small government democracy and capitalism, more of traditional republican voter but I could never vote for a democrat or their socialist agenda. I don't want a hand out in life only the ability to financially take care of myself, I'm  ok helping others but i don't want the others who my taxes help to hate me and want me to pay even more.
In saying that I think Biden will win unless Trump can pull a miracle and if anyone can he can. Traditional Capitalism is at stake, people need to wake up, socialism will not create equality just a lower quality of life overall and less opportunity. Vote team Red.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 03:38:41 PM
Here’s the ones in your map that are totally unrealistic for Trump, but subtracting them out still has him winning if he gets all the others you predict (several of which are iffy like Wisconsin)
Minnesota
Nevada
Maine
New Hampshire
Michigan (conceivable Trump could get it like last time but highly unlikely)

There are certainly  going to be some close ones but I believe the enthusiasm factor is so heavily in favor of Trump that it gives him 2-3% in every state. NOBODY GIVES A FUCK ABOUT BIDEN. Have you watched any of his “events”? There are always more Trump supporters there.


We’ll find out in three weeks. If I’m wrong I’ll man up and admit it. I’m not gonna run away like some people did here after Hillary went down in flames.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Palumboism on October 13, 2020, 03:46:24 PM
Drive through middle America.

The Trump campaign signs in people’s front yards outnumber the Biden signs 10:1 from the California border to the east coast.

These are the people the leftist media never make any effort to poll.

Democrats only seem to be concerned about the coasts and the big cities.  Disregarding the whole center of the country and then they complain about the electoral college.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 13, 2020, 04:16:04 PM
State of the race 3 weeks out:

Trump has a rally in Georgia on Friday.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 13, 2020, 04:25:53 PM
.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Rascal full on October 13, 2020, 04:30:11 PM
.

That would be absolutely horrific! How can a sane human actually want this?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: harmankardon1 on October 13, 2020, 04:32:25 PM
Is this for presidential elections only? Or every race that they poll? Is there any data to verify this in prior elections? Is this how Obama-McCain and Obama-Romney went down? I don’t recall. Forgive my skepticism but the author’s reference to the “demokkkrat” party makes me question his or her credibility somewhat.

It's true... On the inside they call it dissuasion polling.... The recent CNN "poll" that had Biden up 14 points is exactly that... It made to make republicans think oh well it's over I won't vote.

Only problem is it doesn't work less now than ever because everybody knows they're full of shit.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 13, 2020, 04:34:27 PM
Even though the map above is overly optimistic for Biden, the good news for him there is you can take away Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina, and Florida (all of them very Trump friendly), and Biden still wins the electoral vote.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 13, 2020, 04:35:27 PM
That would be absolutely horrific! How can a sane human actually want this?

Whatever you want, vote. Yeah, it's just one vote, but if you don't do it...you have nothing to complain about.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 13, 2020, 04:40:19 PM
It's true... On the inside they call it dissuasion polling.... The recent CNN "poll" that had Biden up 14 points is exactly that... It made to make republicans think oh well it's over I won't vote.

Only problem is it doesn't work less now than ever because everybody knows they're full of shit.

But why is the Fox News poll showing the same thing? Polls may be full of shit and way off base but it seems a stretch to say that all these various polling companies have held a secret meeting where they agree to do “dissuasion polling”. Where they are way off, it’s most likely because they don’t truly reach a representative sample, or because people clam up and don’t fess up to what they really are going to do inside the voting booth.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 04:49:19 PM
But why is the Fox News poll showing the same thing? Polls may be full of shit and way off base but it seems a stretch to say that all these various polling companies have held a secret meeting where they agree to do “dissuasion polling”. Where they are way off, it’s most likely because they don’t truly reach a representative sample, or because people clam up and don’t fess up to what they really are going to do inside the voting booth.

Fox is the old-school Republican establishment. They don’t like Trump. They hired this woman who gave Hillary the debate questions in advance.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/style/fox-news-hires-donna-brazile-liberal-pundit-ousted-from-cnn-in-2016/2019/03/18/934dee20-499a-11e9-93d0-64dbcf38ba41_story.html
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 04:53:32 PM
Even though the map above is overly optimistic for Biden, the good news for him there is you can take away Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina, and Florida (all of them very Trump friendly), and Biden still wins the electoral vote.

Do you think the person who put together that joke of a map would bet a dime on that outcome? I don’t.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 13, 2020, 04:55:30 PM
.

You're not giving Biden an electoral vote for Nebraska CD2?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 04:58:09 PM
That would be absolutely horrific! How can a sane human actually want this?

Consider the source. Prime is the Getbig all time record holder for most times being wrong. He, along with Straw and Howard are the Getbig Trifecta of fail. That they predict Biden will win should give you supreme confidence in a Trump victory.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Rascal full on October 13, 2020, 05:19:11 PM
Consider the source. Prime is the Getbig all time record holder for most times being wrong. He, along with Straw and Howard are the Getbig Trifecta of fail. That they predict Biden will win should give you supreme confidence in a Trump victory.

Haha sort of ask their opinion and whatever they say you know the opposite is right? Good stuff, hope you are correct. I can't get my head round decent people wanting Biden. I mean, Trump not perfect but Biden and the dems is absolute disaster!
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 05:45:40 PM
Haha sort of ask their opinion and whatever they say you know the opposite is right? Good stuff, hope you are correct. I can't get my head round decent people wanting Biden. I mean, Trump not perfect but Biden and the dems is absolute disaster!

Have you seen the the Trump rallies? Thousands all over the country.

This is a Biden “event” in Nevada. It’s a state he supposed to be winning. The campaign hired a mariachi band in a pathetic attempt to pander to Hispanic voters.

Bodybuilding contests draw more people than this!




Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Walter Sobchak on October 13, 2020, 05:46:30 PM
Consider the source. Prime is the Getbig all time record holder for most times being wrong. He, along with Straw and Howard are the Getbig Trifecta of fail. That they predict Biden will win should give you supreme confidence in a Trump victory.

All 3 of them are like six year olds who never grew up and matured.

Still crying and holding their breath because President Donald Trump crushed Hillary Clinton and is going to absolutely crush Hairplugs Biden
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Never1AShow on October 13, 2020, 05:58:40 PM
True. On the other hand, everyone knows the pollsters blew it in the 2016 presidential election. They concede as much and have even claimed to have changed their methodology. However, does that mean there is a provable conspiracy afoot as the author claims?

Changed methodology?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Never1AShow on October 13, 2020, 06:05:42 PM
.

Forget Arizona for Dems, Biden and Harris appeared last week for the first time ever together (and with Cindy McCain) and no one showed up.  The D Senate candidate, Mark Kelly, didn't even appear with them or show up either.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Never1AShow on October 13, 2020, 06:08:30 PM
Consider the source. Prime is the Getbig all time record holder for most times being wrong. He, along with Straw and Howard are the Getbig Trifecta of fail. That they predict Biden will win should give you supreme confidence in a Trump victory.

Straw?  Isn't he really 240orBust (2Fatty)?  He was wrong last time big in 2016, that gets tallied for Straw too.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 13, 2020, 06:20:09 PM
Forget Arizona for Dems, Biden and Harris appeared last week for the first time ever together (and with Cindy McCain) and no one showed up.  The D Senate candidate, Mark Kelly, didn't even appear with them or show up either.

This is very telling. What politicians say is meaningless. What they do tells the story. If Biden were really up, all of these down ballot candidates  would be trying to ride his coattails. No one wants to be seen with him.

Where’s Obama? He knows Biden is a loser and wants nothing to do with him.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 13, 2020, 06:22:52 PM
.




Dreams, you have them.  :D
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: BB on October 13, 2020, 06:23:49 PM
The Arizona stop -

Minutes 32 - 33:00 are just sad.

.

.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 13, 2020, 06:35:36 PM
This is very telling. What politicians say is meaningless. What they do tells the story. If Biden were really up, all of these down ballot candidates  would be trying to ride his coattails. No one wants to be seen with him.

Where’s Obama? He knows Biden is a loser and wants nothing to do with him.


Trump is a leftist media proof steamroller and nobody wants to be pavement. A pop culture candidate would have appeared like Oprah or Mark Cuban if there was a chance of winning. There isn't simply.... Bloomberg is such an unlikable turd he thought maybe he had enough money and media to buy it all off. The radical dems really screwed up running off the Starbucks guy. He was a decent candidate but far too moderate for them. You'll never see him involved in politics again.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: harmankardon1 on October 13, 2020, 08:59:02 PM
Consider the source. Prime is the Getbig all time record holder for most times being wrong. He, along with Straw and Howard are the Getbig Trifecta of fail. That they predict Biden will win should give you supreme confidence in a Trump victory.

This is a really good point...lol
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: harmankardon1 on October 13, 2020, 09:01:28 PM

Trump is a leftist media proof steamroller and nobody wants to be pavement. A pop culture candidate would have appeared like Oprah or Mark Cuban if there was a chance of winning. There isn't simply.... Bloomberg is such an unlikable turd he thought maybe he had enough money and media to buy it all off. The radical dems really screwed up running off the Starbucks guy. He was a decent candidate but far too moderate for them. You'll never see him involved in politics again.

Bloomberg... What a piece of shit he is.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: gmflex on October 13, 2020, 09:06:28 PM
    ;D.                    ;D
 
Polls mean squat...
Fyi .. 2016!!!
It's up for grabs...
They both suck... Hope this helps..
Carry on...

     ;D.                    ;D

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 13, 2020, 10:50:59 PM
You're not giving Biden an electoral vote for Nebraska CD2?

I am not doing shit. Did you think I made up this map? I posted it just because it gives you goons something to hash over.

Like many people like to say, it's not over until it is over. Only when all the votes are counted, will we know who will be in office for the next four years (and if Trump and his flock have any sway left, we might not know for some time after the election). Everything else is just speculation. But hey, a lot of folks are shut in or otherwise have nothing better to do, then to speculate on the election results.....ain't that fun?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: harmankardon1 on October 14, 2020, 12:14:50 AM
I am not doing shit. Did you think I made up this map? I posted it just because it gives you goons something to hash over.

Like many people like to say, it's not over until it is over. Only when all the votes are counted, will we know who will be in office for the next four years (and if Trump and his flock have any sway left, we might not know for some time after the election). Everything else is just speculation. But hey, a lot of folks are shut in or otherwise have nothing better to do, then to speculate on the election results.....ain't that fun?

Jeez you go on with some nonsense shit..
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Never1AShow on October 14, 2020, 06:07:55 AM
no matter what an old guy is going to win.

Where'd you find that photoshop of Sleepy Joe?

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Never1AShow on October 14, 2020, 06:08:48 AM
Where'd you find that photoshop of Sleepy Joe?

Death warmed over
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: harmankardon1 on October 14, 2020, 06:18:40 AM
Lol he is looking fucked.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 14, 2020, 06:49:01 AM
I am not doing shit. Did you think I made up this map? I posted it just because it gives you goons something to hash over.

Like many people like to say, it's not over until it is over. Only when all the votes are counted, will we know who will be in office for the next four years (and if Trump and his flock have any sway left, we might not know for some time after the election). Everything else is just speculation. But hey, a lot of folks are shut in or otherwise have nothing better to do, then to speculate on the election results.....ain't that fun?

all i'm saying is ... if Biden's victory is, indeed, a landslide then he will probably win Nebraska congressional district 2 as well (where he's currently leading in the polls) so you could be shortchanging him one electoral vote.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 14, 2020, 06:52:59 AM
Shit is about to get real. Giuliani has the laptop:


Hunter Biden Introduced Father to Burisma Adviser, New Email Shows | National Review


https://www.nationalreview.com/news/hunter-biden-introduced-father-to-burisma-adviser-new-email-shows/
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 14, 2020, 06:56:37 AM
The little enthusiasm (and tiny crowds) for Biden does not matter.  Record setting early voting suggests that this is an up or down vote on The Trump Show.  Plain and simple.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Grape Ape on October 14, 2020, 06:57:31 AM
Shit is about to get real. Giuliani has the laptop:


Hunter Biden Introduced Father to Burisma Adviser, New Email Shows | National Review


https://www.nationalreview.com/news/hunter-biden-introduced-father-to-burisma-adviser-new-email-shows/

None of this stuff ever leads to anything - Veritas' Omar vote harvesting / ABC squashing Epstein, etc....

Mainstream will ignore it.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: LurkerNoMore on October 14, 2020, 07:01:53 AM
Shit is about to get real. Giuliani has the laptop:


Hunter Biden Introduced Father to Burisma Adviser, New Email Shows | National Review


https://www.nationalreview.com/news/hunter-biden-introduced-father-to-burisma-adviser-new-email-shows/

Giuliani has proven time and again he can't produce anything of substance to equate into anything.  If it were anyone else, there could be a chance of shit getting real.  Rudy?  Naw, probably another friend of his just getting indicted over it on down the road.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Grape Ape on October 14, 2020, 07:10:00 AM
Giuliani has proven time and again he can't produce anything of substance to equate into anything.  If it were anyone else, there could be a chance of shit getting real.  Rudy?  Naw, probably another friend of his just getting indicted over it on down the road.

Probably not.

But the coverage will be biased completely.

Don Jr. took a meeting with Fusion GPS and the media went nuts.

This is that x1000 and will be either ignored or made excuses for.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 14, 2020, 07:19:30 AM
None of this stuff ever leads to anything - Veritas' Omar vote harvesting / ABC squashing Epstein, etc....

Mainstream will ignore it.

You’re probably right. Still not a good look 3 weeks out. Rudy says there’s much more to come.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Grape Ape on October 14, 2020, 07:22:35 AM
You’re probably right. Still not a good look 3 weeks out. Rudy says there’s much more to come.

Maybe I'm wrong - there ARE some cracks in the armor surfacing.  Blitzer got into it with Pelosi, Huff Post politics questioning the delaying of an agreement, now this.

Will be hard to ignore this one.

What IS unbelievable is that Biden said all this was "debunked" but nobody ever says "by who or what committee"?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 14, 2020, 04:26:06 PM
As a result of the latest Biden corruption scandal , CNN has reported that Joe Biden has surged to 100 point lead over Trump and projects Biden will win the race unanimously.💪
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Body-Buildah on October 15, 2020, 09:25:29 AM
As a result of the latest Biden corruption scandal , CNN has reported that Joe Biden has surged to 100 point lead over Trump and projects Biden will win the race unanimously.💪

Libtardz put crack-heads as heroes all the time. Floyd, etc. Not surprising.
If Hunter robs and sexually assaults a pregnant woman like Floyd, Joe's got this no problem!  ::)

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8842709/Joe-Bidens-son-crack-pipe-new-low-dirtiest-election-writes-TOM-LEONARD.html
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: El Diablo Blanco on October 15, 2020, 09:30:55 AM
Trump  536

Biden    0

Since the election will be rigged let's make it

Trump 987

Biden 654
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Obvious Gimmick on October 15, 2020, 04:55:22 PM
If you’re dumb, don’t vote.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 16, 2020, 06:44:29 AM
If Biden were really up by double digits why would he go to a state like Michigan which should be locked up and never visit Texas which has many more electoral votes and is supposedly within reach?


Biden to campaign in Detroit, Southfield today

https://www.clickondetroit.com/decision-2020/2020/10/15/biden-to-campaign-in-detroit-southfield-friday/

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: loco on October 16, 2020, 07:18:11 AM
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 16, 2020, 07:27:02 AM
If Biden were really up by double digits why would he go to a state like Michigan which should be locked up and never visit Texas which has many more electoral votes and is supposedly within reach?


Biden to campaign in Detroit, Southfield today

https://www.clickondetroit.com/decision-2020/2020/10/15/biden-to-campaign-in-detroit-southfield-friday/

As a Biden supporter, here is what I would tell him:
1.I don’t care what the polls say, there is no way you are going to get Texas or Georgia (and probably not Ohio either). Don’t waste your time or money.
2. You are LIKELY to get Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania and, if you do, you will be President. But the polls are way overstating your margins and new Republicans are signing up in droves to vote. Hunker down in those three states (plus Florida and North Carolina which are 50/50 for you).
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 16, 2020, 07:37:59 AM
As a Biden supporter, here is what I would tell him:
1.I don’t care what the polls say, there is no way you are going to get Texas or Georgia (and probably not Ohio either). Don’t waste your time or money.
2. You are LIKELY to get Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania and, if you do, you will be President. But the polls are way overstating your margins and new Republicans are signing up in droves to vote. Hunker down in those three states (plus Florida and North Carolina which are 50/50 for you).

Georgia now is looking like 50/50 too.  But, yeah, winning it would be just gravy for Biden.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on October 16, 2020, 08:01:32 AM
Congrats to President Biden!!

PEDO for POTUS 2020!!


https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/early-voting-2020-election/2020/10/14/500c22ce-0d90-11eb-8a35-237ef1eb2ef7_story.html

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 16, 2020, 08:21:20 AM
WaPo has a lot of hope don't they? Who owns that rag anyway? Oh yeah, Mr. China himself...


(https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/57f514c56b8f5b0e6b2093d9/1496931546919-V5MPRG5CRDA3MU1HJTHL/jeff-bezos-amazon-cia-and-the-washington-post.jpeg?content-type=image%2Fjpeg)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 16, 2020, 09:05:42 AM
As a Biden supporter, here is what I would tell him:
1.I don’t care what the polls say, there is no way you are going to get Texas or Georgia (and probably not Ohio either). Don’t waste your time or money.
2. You are LIKELY to get Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania and, if you do, you will be President. But the polls are way overstating your margins and new Republicans are signing up in droves to vote. Hunker down in those three states (plus Florida and North Carolina which are 50/50 for you).

If you think he’s not likely to get Ohio and Florida 50-50 (I think FL is in the bag for Trump) this is a very close race. So the idea that the polls have any meaning is ridiculous yet that’s the only metric we hear about.

Btw, if Biden loses OH and FL the path to 270 is very narrow.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Palumboism on October 16, 2020, 09:11:34 AM
If you think he’s not likely to get Ohio and Florida 50-50 (I think FL is in the bag for Trump) this is a very close race. So the idea that the polls have any meaning is ridiculous yet that’s the only metric we hear about.

Btw, if Biden loses OH and FL the path to 270 is very narrow.

Democrats don't seem to understand how in the bag Ohio and Florida are for Trump.  I drove though Ohio a couple of weeks ago, Trump signs everywhere.  They want to live in a bubble of their own making.




Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 16, 2020, 09:11:44 AM
If you think he’s not likely to get Ohio and Florida 50-50 (I think FL is in the bag for Trump) this is a very close race. So the idea that the polls have any meaning is ridiculous yet that’s the only metric we hear about.

Btw, if Biden loses OH and FL the path to 270 is very narrow.

You are probably right about Florida being a bit more likely Trump than Biden (although Seniors are looking like they are going way more Biden than they did for Hillary). Ohio is definitely Trump. But I disagree with you that Biden needs those to be President. Of course, I am assuming Biden in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin (or two of them anyway). If Trump does again what he did last time in those three, he will keep the presidency.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Palumboism on October 16, 2020, 09:22:55 AM
You are probably right about Florida being a bit more likely Trump than Biden (although Seniors are looking like they are going way more Biden than they did for Hillary). Ohio is definitely Trump. But I disagree with you that Biden needs those to be President. Of course, I am assuming Biden in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin (or two of them anyway). If Trump does again what he did last time in those three, he will keep the presidency.



Residents of Michigan and Pennsylvania seem to think Trump will win those states. 

There's nothing UAW members want more than a president that will yell at the CEO's of the big three to bring jobs back to America.  Trump is the first president to stand up to China and they love it.  Michigan is in the bag for Trump.  Democrats are clueless about what Trump's done for the working man.  The fact that a Billionaire is more in touch with blue collar America should be eye opening for the Democrats, but they just don't get it.  It's unbelievable.



Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 16, 2020, 09:28:08 AM


Residents of Michigan and Pennsylvania seem to think Trump will win those states. 

There's nothing UAW members want more than a president that will yell at the CEO's of the big three to bring jobs back to America.  Trump is the first president to stand up to China and they love it.  Michigan is in the bag for Trump.  Democrats are clueless about what Trump's done for the working man.  The fact that a Billionaire is more in touch with blue collar America should be eye opening for the Democrats, but they just don't get it.  It's unbelievable.

I think you are wrong about Michigan (we’ll see), but it’s simple: if Trump gets Michigan, he retains the presidency. If he gets Michigan, he will absolutely have gotten Pennsylvania too.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: MAXX on October 16, 2020, 09:28:51 AM
No idea.

Maybe there's been enough demographics imported since last election for the scale to tip the other way. Regardless if Trump won over more americans.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 16, 2020, 09:32:01 AM
No idea.

Maybe there's been enough demographics imported since last election for the scale to tip the other way. Regardless if Trump won over more white americans.

I predict even just the White vote alone in Michigan will be more Biden than Trump (at least reach 50/50). That will be something curious to look at after the election is over.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: El Diablo Blanco on October 16, 2020, 09:33:35 AM


Residents of Michigan and Pennsylvania seem to think Trump will win those states. 

There's nothing UAW members want more than a president that will yell at the CEO's of the big three to bring jobs back to America.  Trump is the first president to stand up to China and they love it.  Michigan is in the bag for Trump.  Democrats are clueless about what Trump's done for the working man.  The fact that a Billionaire is more in touch with blue collar America should be eye opening for the Democrats, but they just don't get it.  It's unbelievable.





You're kidding right?  Have you looked at Trump's history even before the presidency?  He's never given a single fuck about blue collar or anyone else. 
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 16, 2020, 09:43:03 AM
Georgia now is looking like 50/50 too.  But, yeah, winning it would be just gravy for Biden.

Dream on about Biden winning Georgia. However, if Collins beats out Loeffler in the first phase of the special election, it is conceivable that Warnock could knock off that Fox News suck-up in January. He has a certain Roy Moore quality about him.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Palumboism on October 16, 2020, 09:44:09 AM
You're kidding right?  Have you looked at Trump's history even before the presidency?  He's never given a single fuck about blue collar or anyone else.

What has he done with H-1B Visas?  What has he done with China?

He won Michigan in 2016 and is likely to win it again in 2020.  The union employees I know are all voting Trump.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 16, 2020, 10:16:28 AM
Dream on about Biden winning Georgia. However, if Collins beats out Loeffler in the first phase of the special election, it is conceivable that Warnock could knock off that Fox News suck-up in January. He has a certain Roy Moore quality about him.

well (as you know) Stacey Abrams lost by just 1.4 points and i'll take the Trump campaign's decision to hold a rally in Georgia today as a recognition that the state potentially could be lost.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 16, 2020, 10:23:20 AM
well (as you know) Stacey Abrams lost by just 1.4 points and i'll take the Trump campaign's decision to hold a rally in Georgia today as a recognition that the state potentially could be lost.

Well, it has been a while since I lived in Georgia. If Trump were to lose there, it means a landslide or close to. But I predict close but no cigar.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 16, 2020, 10:26:53 AM
Pollsters starting to cover their asses. Biden was never up big:



2020 Election Poll: Donald Trump Narrows Gap As Joe Biden Support Falls Below Key Level, IBD/TIPP Data Show

https://www.investors.com/politics/2020-election-poll-donald-trump-vs-biden-poll-tightens-ibd-tipp/
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 16, 2020, 01:10:39 PM
well (as you know) Stacey Abrams lost by just 1.4 points and i'll take the Trump campaign's decision to hold a rally in Georgia today as a recognition that the state potentially could be lost.

He’s in Florida today as well. Why not make a stop in GA on the way back to DC and motivate the base?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 16, 2020, 05:31:36 PM
If Biden were really up by double digits why would he go to a state like Michigan which should be locked up and never visit Texas which has many more electoral votes and is supposedly within reach?


Biden to campaign in Detroit, Southfield today

https://www.clickondetroit.com/decision-2020/2020/10/15/biden-to-campaign-in-detroit-southfield-friday/

I think this is because he believes it would be a waste of time to campaign in Texas. It is one thing to be in a close race and hope to win over some undecided votes. But if you are down a lot somewhere, like Texas, it doesn't make sense. By going to Michigan where is is already ahead, he is securing his vote. It would make sense for him to go to Florida and Ohio where the race is nearly tied. 

RCP Average            9/15 - 10/6   --   --           49.2   44.8   Trump +4.4
Rasmussen Reports   10/5 - 10/6   1000 LV   3.0   51   44   Trump +7
UT/Texas    Tribune*   9/25 - 10/4   908 LV   4.1   50   45   Trump +5
UMass         Lowell      9/18 - 9/25   882 LV   4.3   50   46   Trump +4
Quinnipiac                 9/17 - 9/21   1078 LV   3.0   50   45   Trump +5
NY Times/Siena*         9/16 - 9/21   653 LV   4.3   46   43   Trump +3
CBS News/YouGov     9/15 - 9/18   1205 LV   3.5   48   46   Trump +2

Presidential Voting History
1972 R
1976 D
1980 R
1984 R
1988 R
1992 R
1996 R
2000 R
2004 R
2008 R
2012 R
2016 R

These are the toss up states and the electoral votes they offer. Any of these where the race is close and that bring a lot of electoral votes are good choices to campaign in to either try and win over the vote or maintain one's lead. This will get him to the required 270 electoral college votes and possibly with a good lead. Biden currently has 216 electoral votes and Trump has 125, leaving 197 toss up votes, more of which lean towards Biden than Trump.

Pennsylvania (20) Georgia (16)  Florida (29) Iowa (6)  Wisconsin (10) Nevada (6)  North Carolina (15) Maine CD2 (1) Arizona (11) Minnesota (10) Ohio (18) Nebraska CD2 (1)

If you eliminate the toss ups by moving them to which ever side the candidate is ahead on, Biden would have 375 electoral votes to Trump's 163

If this is how the election turns out, Trump has no argument as to whether the vote was miscounted or there was election fraud.

With only 18 days to go until the election it might seem like a done deal. But, it is a good idea to never count your chickens before they are hatched.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 16, 2020, 06:14:16 PM
So, are you going with that prediction prime? Biden 375?

You believe that Biden is going to out perform Hillary by 143?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 16, 2020, 06:57:54 PM
Another perspective here. I believe Biden is likely to win but 375 electoral votes is not achievable. Even Michigan and Pennsylvania remain question marks. Biden appears to have the edge there, in large part because of movement of Seniors and suburbanites toward Biden BUT:
Enthusiasm factor is super high among Trump supporters. They will turn out!
New voters signing up are tilted toward Republican registrations over Democrats.

Biden needs to LIVE in those two states (and Florida where the senior shift toward him is significant also).
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on October 16, 2020, 09:46:00 PM
PEDO for POTUS 2020!!

Biden wins both the electoral college and popular vote by a much larger margin than Hildog
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Methyl m1ke on October 16, 2020, 10:02:07 PM
Cnn focused on non mask wearing at Trump rallies and the threat of potentially deadly coronavirus.transmission . makes me literally want to punch my tv. The left is gambling the roof over their head and they know it. If Trump wins I hope one of the first things he does is dismantle the main stream media and unpoliticize it. Its disgusting.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Eldon on October 16, 2020, 10:27:09 PM
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: AbrahamG on October 16, 2020, 10:45:53 PM
So, are you going with that prediction prime? Biden 375?

You believe that Biden is going to out perform Hillary by 143?


I believe he'll outperform Hillary but not by 143.  I think Joe Biden will be the next POTUS.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 17, 2020, 11:49:10 AM
Last Ten Presidential Elections - Electoral Vote & Popular Vote

2016:  Trump  304  46.1%  (Hillary 48.2%)

2012:  Obama  332  51.1%

2008:  Obama  365  52.9%

2004:  Bush  286  50.7%

2000:  Bush  271  47.9%  (Gore 48.4%)

1996:  Clinton  379  49.2%  (Dole 40.7%, Perot 8.4%)

1992:  Clinton  370  43%  (Bush 37.4%, Perot 18.9%)

1988:  Bush  426  53.4%

1984:  Reagan  526  58.8%

1980:  Reagan  489  50.7%
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 17, 2020, 12:54:17 PM
So, are you going with that prediction prime? Biden 375?

You believe that Biden is going to out perform Hillary by 143?

As I posted, a lot can happen between now and November 3rd. Right now Biden is ahead by 9.0 overall, 7.2 in Michigan and 5.6 in Pennsylvania. That's 36 electoral votes from just these two states. Winning them puts him just 18 votes away from the required 270. Currently, there are 538 electors, based on 435 representatives, 100 senators from the fifty states and three electors from Washington, D.C.

Biden needs to win with a big enough lead to avoid endless challenges to the vote count as there most surely would be if he only got 270 electoral votes and Trump got 268.

It is not really important what I believe or what anyone else believes because predictions/beliefs are often inaccurate. Never the less, there will be a lot of poll watching and people making predictions from now until election day.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 17, 2020, 01:02:32 PM
As I posted, a lot can happen between now and November 3rd. Right now Biden is ahead by 9.0 overall, 7.2 in Michigan and 5.6 in Pennsylvania. That's 36 electoral votes from just these two states. Winning them puts him just 18 votes away from the required 270. Currently, there are 538 electors, based on 435 representatives, 100 senators from the fifty states and three electors from Washington, D.C.

Biden needs to win with a big enough lead to avoid endless challenges to the vote count as there most surely would be if he only got 270 electoral votes and Trump got 268.

It is not really important what I believe or what anyone else believes because predictions/beliefs are often inaccurate. Never the less, there will be a lot of poll watching and people making predictions from now until election day.

Easy to see why so many people got 2016 wrong and will do so again this year. They believe these polls as gospel.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Humble Narcissist on October 17, 2020, 01:06:26 PM
Easy to see why so many people got 2016 wrong and will do so again this year. They believe these polls as gospel.
A lot of people make their livings off of them.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 17, 2020, 01:14:34 PM
Another perspective here. I believe Biden is likely to win but 375 electoral votes is not achievable. Even Michigan and Pennsylvania remain question marks. Biden appears to have the edge there, in large part because of movement of Seniors and suburbanites toward Biden BUT:
Enthusiasm factor is super high among Trump supporters. They will turn out!
New voters signing up are tilted toward Republican registrations over Democrats.

Biden needs to LIVE in those two states (and Florida where the senior shift toward him is significant also).

It's too late in many states to register to vote. Only 21 States have same day registrations most require you register 30 days prior to the election. The last day to register to vote in Florida has passed. Pennsylvania last day is 10 days before the election. Michigan voters can register on the same day they vote (November 3). As of October 10, 2020 there were more people registered as Democrats than Republicans in the battleground states of Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, but Republicans have been gaining ground. Both the Trump and Biden campaigns are actively working to boost their party registration numbers.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 17, 2020, 01:28:38 PM
Three weeks from election day, Donald Trump was and is still trailing in the polls and some Democrats are plotting for the next four years under a Democratic president. That was the scene in 2016 and it’s shaping up to be the same in 2020, as Joe Biden’s solid, sustained lead in United States polls has increased in the last week.

The world has changed enormously in four years, as has the political situation in which Trump finds himself. Instead of railing against the establishment as an agent of change, Trump is now in charge and is being blamed for mishandling a once-in-a-century pandemic that has rocked the country and has directly affected him, hospitalizing him and sidelining him from a week-and-a-half of crucial campaign travel.

That makes the ‘Look what Trump did in 2016’ a poor argument for why he may or may not still have a chance this year.

While Hillary Clinton regularly led Trump throughout the general election in 2016, Joe Biden is currently holding a historic lead in national polls, finding himself in the best position for a challenger to an incumbent since 1936.

Even in battleground states, Biden is leading or statistically tied in all of the ones Trump flipped in 2016, including Michigan, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Wisconsin.


https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/10/13/analysis-2020-is-not-2016-but-dont-count-trump-out-yet

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 17, 2020, 01:41:45 PM
It's too late in many states to register to vote. Only 21 States have same day registrations most require you register 30 days prior to the election. The last day to register to vote in Florida has passed. Pennsylvania last day is 10 days before the election. Michigan voters can register on the same day they vote (November 3). As of October 10, 2020 there were more people registered as Democrats than Republicans in the battleground states of Florida, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, but Republicans have been gaining ground. Both the Trump and Biden campaigns are actively working to boost their party registration numbers.

Current registration levels are meaningless. In Chicago, there were huge howls of discontent when voters in certain more conservative neighborhoods went to their polling places during the Primary to vote for Trump and were told they could not vote for him because they were registered as Democrats. NEW registrations are much more informative. If someone registers as a Democrat right now, he or she is going to vote for Biden. Same on the Republican side for Trump. And you point out people in both Michigan and Pennsylvania can still register for a while longer. That is why, as I Biden supporter, I would tell him to set up residence in those states. In that particular respect, he is being outmaneuvered by the Republicans.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 17, 2020, 02:18:36 PM
A lot of people make their livings off of them.

If the public polls are so accurate, why do the candidates themselves use internal polls?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 17, 2020, 02:44:57 PM
Easy to see why so many people got 2016 wrong and will do so again this year. They believe these polls as gospel.

Nate Silver gave Trump a 28.6% chance of winning in 2016.  And Trump pulled it off by picking up 46 decisive electoral votes by winning MI, WI & PA by just half a percentage point combined (less than 78,000 votes combined.)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 17, 2020, 09:06:16 PM
Nate Silver gave Trump a 28.6% chance of winning in 2016.  And Trump pulled it off by picking up 46 decisive electoral votes by winning MI, WI & PA by just half a percentage point combined (less than 78,000 votes combined.)


When? The day after the election?  8)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Humble Narcissist on October 18, 2020, 03:59:25 AM
If the public polls are so accurate, why do the candidates themselves use internal polls?
I'm not saying the pollsters are accurate, I'm saying lots of people make their living off of them.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Andy Griffin on October 19, 2020, 07:24:28 PM

I believe he'll outperform Hillary but not by 143.  I think Joe Biden will be the next POTUS.

He will lose worse than Cankles lost. 
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 19, 2020, 07:39:21 PM
She ain't helping!

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 19, 2020, 07:58:12 PM
"What's up Florida?!"  ::)  And no, it's not so much that she said it but how she said it.  Cue Cartman singing, ..."In the ghetto...And his momma cried".

Margaret Thatcher would mind fuck that vile creature with ease.  Liberals are disgusting, vile licentious creatures.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Havenbull on October 19, 2020, 09:54:15 PM
Trump is going to win on Nov 3rd with no less than 284 electoral votes.  The same EV count from 2016 is easily doable, if not more.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: IroNat on October 20, 2020, 04:37:17 AM
Puttin' on that southern black accent for the peeps...all 20 of them.

"Look at what my eyes behold!"

(https://media1.tenor.com/images/e1399077527211c3d4af6e0d65af4af0/tenor.gif?itemid=7591954)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 20, 2020, 10:28:36 AM
Act Three getting underway. See Reply #17:




https://www.investors.com/news/trump-vs-biden-poll-race-tightens-like-2016-ibd-tipp-2020-presidential-poll/

Today's Trump vs. Biden poll finds that the race between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden has suddenly gotten much tighter. IBD/TIPP's latest 2020 presidential poll update shows that Republicans are rallying around Trump, Biden is leaking Democratic support, and the gap among independents has narrowed.

Since the IBD/TIPP 2020 Presidential Election Tracking Poll launched on Monday, Oct. 12, Biden's support has slipped 3.8 points, from 51.9% to a new low-water mark of 48.1%. Trump poll numbers have gone the other way, rising 2.4 points to his new high-water mark of 45.8%. Biden's lead peaked at 8.6 points in the Oct. 13 presidential poll.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: AbrahamG on October 21, 2020, 12:01:19 PM
He will lose worse than Cankles lost.

Go play some minecraft. Grown ups are talking.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Super Natural on October 22, 2020, 11:13:16 AM
Biden is just a vessel for the hard left, if he wins...
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: OlympiaGym on October 22, 2020, 11:31:12 AM
Women will deliver the election to Biden/Harris.

No women post on here. That is why everyone on this site expects Trump to win.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on October 22, 2020, 11:53:30 AM
Women will deliver the election to Biden/Harris.

No women post on here. That is why everyone on this site expects Trump to win.

Every single woman I know all over the country (friends, relatives, coworkers) is voting for Pedo Biden and only because "orange man bad"
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Humble Narcissist on October 22, 2020, 12:12:39 PM
Every single woman I know all over the country (friends, relatives, coworkers) is voting for Pedo Biden and only because "orange man bad"
Yep, women are the easiest to brain wash.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tommywishbone on October 22, 2020, 12:19:19 PM
Women will deliver the election to Biden/Harris.

No women post on here. That is why everyone on this site expects Trump to win.

HAHAHA. 

Trump will crush the senile old fool and the hood rat.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 22, 2020, 12:26:01 PM
Biden is not going to be President. Hope this helps.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 22, 2020, 12:28:11 PM
Women will deliver the election to Biden/Harris.

No women post on here. That is why everyone on this site expects Trump to win.

So, you think that women are going to come out in the same numbers for a creepy old corrupt pervert as they did for the potential first female President of the United States?

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on October 22, 2020, 01:36:11 PM
So, you think that women are going to come out in the same numbers for a creepy old corrupt pervert as they did for the potential first female President of the United States?

100% yes even more so

They "knew" Hildog was a 100% lock according to their hearts, heads, polls, msm... they said to themselves as they laughed "no freakin way will Trump win"..... people mocked, joked, laughed, etc... so not going to waste my time...

Then Trump won

NOW they are PISSED the FCK off

women's turnout will be a record unlike anything seen in elections before this one
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 22, 2020, 01:42:38 PM
100% yes even more so

They "knew" Hildog was a 100% lock according to their hearts, heads, polls, msm... they said to themselves as they laughed "no freakin way will Trump win"..... people mocked, joked, laughed, etc... so not going to waste my time...

Then Trump won

NOW they are PISSED the FCK off

women's turnout will be a record unlike anything seen in elections before this one

That’s one theory. Another one is that the main stream media has scared the shit out of them so much about Covid that they’re not gonna show up at the polls.

Moreover, the Democrats have put a lot of their eggs in the basket of voting by mail which is currently under performing to a large extent.

Too many people have just thrown the ballots on tables and desks and have left them there.


Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: OlympiaGym on October 22, 2020, 01:53:15 PM
So, you think that women are going to come out in the same numbers for a creepy old corrupt pervert as they did for the potential first female President of the United States?

Yes or they will vote by mail. They don’t view him as a “creepy old corrupt pervert.” If anything, they think of Trump as the pervert. Even suburban white women will largely abandon Trump. Mostly because he’s not “nice.”
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: OlympiaGym on October 22, 2020, 01:53:58 PM
That’s one theory. Another one is that the main stream media has scared the shit out of them so much about Covid that they’re not gonna show up at the polls.

Moreover, the Democrats have put a lot of their eggs in the basket of voting by mail which is currently under performing to a large extent.

Too many people have just thrown the ballots on tables and desks and have left them there.

You are just saying what you want to believe.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: kh300 on October 22, 2020, 02:33:06 PM
She ain't helping!



Its the exact 10 min speech every city she goes to. 14 people showed up to her rally in Ashville,NC yesterday.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 22, 2020, 04:45:06 PM
You are just saying what you want to believe.

And you’re not? You have no facts behind  this opinion of a massive female turnout other than that you think it’s gonna happen.

Let’s talk about facts:


It’s not a theory that Covid has been Biden’s number one issue. It’s not a theory that the Democrats have put a lot of eggs in vote by mail. It’s not a theory that new voter registrations  favor the Republicans. Its not a theory Trump has been drawing tens of thousands to his rallies and Biden can’t even draw enough people for a poker game.

In fact, without the liberal media sponsored polls you would think Trump was crushing this election. There’s literally not a single other factor other than the polls that favors Biden.

Yeah we’re supposed to act like it’s a given that women are going to come out in massive numbers, greater than in 2016. to vote for Biden.

C’mon man!
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 22, 2020, 04:48:50 PM
Its the exact 10 min speech every city she goes to. 14 people showed up to her rally in Ashville,NC yesterday.

But I thought she was the female Obama😂😂😂😂.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 22, 2020, 08:10:20 PM
Where is this Joe? "beyond the pale"

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Mayday on October 23, 2020, 12:25:26 PM
100% yes even more so.

They "knew" Hildog was a 100% lock according to their hearts, heads, polls, msm... they said to themselves as they laughed "no freakin way will Trump win"..... people mocked, joked, laughed, etc... so not going to waste my time...

Then Trump won

Ponder the point you are making and then read the last line.

If women turned up en masse to vofe for Hillary as the first female.president and she lost, you shouldn't then conclude the following candidate, who is a male, will win because even more will turn up as they are upset they lost the previous election.

The unique circumstance is the key driver for additional participation.
 For Obama it was the first black president, he had record black voters who following his term mostly vanished and 4.4M didn't vote (which is racist as they only turned up because the candidate was black).

For Hillary it was becomming the first female president. Women rocked up to make it happen but it wasn't enough despite the millions she poured into marketing. She lost.

Biden isn't a first of anything. First president with dementia? I don't think anybody would turnup to make that happen.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 23, 2020, 12:42:45 PM
So, you think that women are going to come out in the same numbers for a creepy old corrupt pervert as they did for the potential first female President of the United States?

In every U.S. presidential election dating back to 1984, women reported having turned out to vote at slightly higher rates than men, according to a new analysis of Census Bureau data by the Pew Research Center.

In 2018 and 2019, the Democratic Party held a wide advantage with women: 56% of female registered voters identified as Democrats or leaned toward the Democratic Party, while 38% identified as Republicans or leaned toward the GOP.
Pew Research Center

Trump has pleaded to suburban women ‘will you please like me’ – but nationally, Biden has the largest lead among women in modern history. The Guardian
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: ThisisOverload on October 23, 2020, 12:56:45 PM
Yeah it's weird, but a lot of women really hate Trump.

Even my mother who has been a Dem for decades thinks Kamala is the icing on the cake for Biden.  Her and her liberal friends (my mother was a teacher so yeah) are all voting for Biden no matter what, they are hardcore Dems that would vote for Hitler over any Rep.  I've asked some of them who are pretty conservative why they are voting Biden, most of them say because they hate Trump and think he's sexist/racist or because they want to see a female in the White House.  My mother is also a HUGE fan of Hillary, just because she wants to see women in power.  It's retarded at a base level.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 23, 2020, 01:00:52 PM
Too many people have just thrown the ballots on tables and desks and have left them there.

Very true. The best thing to do is to fill in your ballot and either mail it or drop into an official ballot box the same day you get it. Otherwise, you may forget to do it until it is too late.

This election, I put my ballot into the official ballot box in front of city hall instead of mailing it because of all the scuttlebutt about the USPS being shorthanded, thanks to the Postmaster General,  Louis DeJoy, who was appointed by Trump on June 15, 2020.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 23, 2020, 01:15:03 PM
Ponder the point you are making and then read the last line.

If women turned up en masse to vofe for Hillary as the first female.president and she lost, you shouldn't then conclude the following candidate, who is a male, will win because even more will turn up as they are upset they lost the previous election.

The unique circumstance is the key driver for additional participation.
 For Obama it was the first black president, he had record black voters who following his term mostly vanished and 4.4M didn't vote (which is racist as they only turned up because the candidate was black).

For Hillary it was becomming the first female president. Women rocked up to make it happen but it wasn't enough despite the millions she poured into marketing. She lost.

Biden isn't a first of anything. First president with dementia? I don't think anybody would turnup to make that happen.

Candidate Favorable Ratings Up Over 2016, but Still Low

 Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump 54% to 47% in Gallup's historical "scalometer" measure of candidate favorability. Trump's 2020 rating on the zero to 10 scale is better than the all-time low 36% he received in 2016, and Biden's rating exceeds Hillary Clinton's 47% that year.
Gallop
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: epic is back on October 23, 2020, 01:22:29 PM
um yeah, about those polls...
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 23, 2020, 01:56:13 PM
Yeah it's weird, but a lot of women really hate Trump.

Even my mother who has been a Dem for decades thinks Kamala is the icing on the cake for Biden.  Her and her liberal friends (my mother was a teacher so yeah) are all voting for Biden no matter what, they are hardcore Dems that would vote for Hitler over any Rep.  I've asked some of them who are pretty conservative why they are voting Biden, most of them say because they hate Trump and think he's sexist/racist or because they want to see a female in the White House.  My mother is also a HUGE fan of Hillary, just because she wants to see women in power.  It's retarded at a base level.

Historically, this doesn’t win elections. People are more likely to go the extra yard, to the polls, or to vote by mail for a candidate they support rather than to vote against one they hate.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 23, 2020, 01:59:26 PM
um yeah, about those polls...




https://www.kltv.com/2020/08/21/prolific-predictor-elections-says-trump-wins-landslide/


(KLTV) - The chances that President Donald Trump wins re-election in 2020 is near certain, according to a political science professor whose election model has a history of correctly predicting election results.
Stony Brook University professor Helmut Norpoth’s Primary Model shows President Trump has a 91-percent chance of winning re-election, according to his interview with Stony Brook News.
Norpoth’s model relies on the results of presidential primaries, not polls that are often used as indicators of popularity. According to Norpoth, Biden is in a much weaker position than Trump because of his poor showing in the first two primary races.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: epic is back on October 23, 2020, 02:07:05 PM
again the polls.. mmmm not so much

you forgot 2016?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 23, 2020, 02:10:58 PM
again the polls.. mmmm not so much

you forgot 2016?

Here’s one from 2016:

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 24, 2020, 07:37:34 AM
Policies and politics (and polls) aside, it boils down to the kindly old uncle versus the mean old uncle at the holiday dinner table. Which one is angry but exhausted America in the mood for? The women will go kindly and the men probably mean. It will be close.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Body-Buildah on October 24, 2020, 07:39:16 AM
More important than this garbage, who takes WSM 2020??

https://barbend.com/2020-worlds-strongest-man-final-roster/
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 24, 2020, 08:00:49 AM
Policies and politics (and polls) aside, it boils down to the kindly old uncle versus the mean old uncle at the holiday dinner table. Which one is angry but exhausted America in the mood for? The women will go kindly and the men probably mean. It will be close.

I don’t know which Biden you’re watching but rather than a kindly old uncle I see an angry old man who gets pissed off when anybody asks him a remotely tough question.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on October 24, 2020, 09:12:18 AM
Biden gets at least 300 electoral votes easy


Biden 379

Trump 159


PEDO for POTUS 2020!!
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 24, 2020, 09:31:18 AM
Biden gets at least 300 electoral votes easy


Biden 379

Trump 159


PEDO for POTUS 2020!!

Bold prediction💪

So, you think Biden will win Florida and the entire rust belt?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on October 24, 2020, 09:43:35 AM
Bold prediction💪

So, you think Biden will win Florida and the entire rust belt?

Based on the feedback I'm getting from pissed off family member Trump supporters who live in Florida and see way too many Biden signs and more and more of them each day in FL counties that typical vote red.............100% yep.


If that can happen in red FL counties then the rust belt is easy



As much as I want Trump to win.......not likely based on what I am seeing/hearing even in places like Idaho, Montana, Florida...


Way too many Dems relocating or that have relocated to Red states in the last 4 years voting for Biden imo

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: dearth on October 24, 2020, 09:46:12 AM
When you realize that the orange turd will lose
(https://media12.s-nbcnews.com/i/MSNBC/Components/Video/202009/parscale-thumb.jpg)

why does the 73 year old man baby paint his face with orange paint?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Dave D on October 24, 2020, 09:56:21 AM
Policies and politics (and polls) aside, it boils down to the kindly old uncle versus the mean old uncle at the holiday dinner table. Which one is angry but exhausted America in the mood for? The women will go kindly and the men probably mean. It will be close.

You mean like every other presidential election in recent memory?

Every election is close, has there ever been a candidate that won by 70% of the popular vote? Bush sr? Clinton? lol at it will be close....
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 24, 2020, 10:03:27 AM
I don’t know which Biden you’re watching but rather than a kindly old uncle I see an angry old man who gets pissed off when anybody asks him a remotely tough question.

Agreed.   Biden is like Buck Henry's character on the original SNL where he babysits Gilda Radner and Loraine Newman and has them sit on a glass table and play "glASS Bottom Boat" and he's the fish under the boat.  He's the kind of "uncle" that takes a kid to the movies and has him "reach deep" into the popcorn box on his lap because "that's where the fresh melted butter is".

democraps are fetid beings, unworthy of living in civilized lands.  They are the weakest among us and if Covid were that deadly it would've been a blessing from above as it would have wiped them off the face of our Nation and the world.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Dave D on October 24, 2020, 10:08:09 AM
Based on the feedback I'm getting from pissed off family member Trump supporters who live in Florida and see way too many Biden signs and more and more of them each day in FL counties that typical vote red.............100% yep.


If that can happen in red FL counties then the rust belt is easy



As much as I want Trump to win.......not likely based on what I am seeing/hearing even in places like Idaho, Montana, Florida...


Way too many Dems relocating or that have relocated to Red states in the last 4 years voting for Biden imo

What percentage of the country is democrat? And what percentage of those have moved to “republican” areas? With the dems moving is there data tracking what political party moved into their former neighborhood? Obviously if dems are moving into republican strongholds someone had to leave, so where did the republicans go?

Where are you getting this data?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 24, 2020, 10:21:04 AM
You mean like every other presidential election in recent memory?

Every election is close, has there ever been a candidate that won by 70% of the popular vote? Bush sr? Clinton? lol at it will be close....

Winning the popular vote by simply a double-digit margin would be a landslide ...(which, yeah, hasn't happened since Reagan.)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 24, 2020, 10:25:29 AM
What percentage of the country is democrat? And what percentage of those have moved to “republican” areas? With the dems moving is there data tracking what political party moved into their former neighborhood? Obviously if dems are moving into republican strongholds someone had to leave, so where did the republicans go?

Where are you getting this data?

Ohio and Florida will tell the story. I cannot see Trump losing Ohio, but in the old days the early margin in Ohio would have told the story. If Trump is only winning Ohio by a small margin, then Biden would be President. The difference these days is that Democrats are voting early and Republicans are more voting on Election Day, so “early margin” may no longer be a reliable indicator.

As a Biden supporter, I am happy that Biden signs are popping up right and left in Florida (which is 50/50, normally I would say for Trump). That means the silent majority of people in the middle are feeling more comfortable coming out of the closet. Guarantee that seniors (a huge segment in Florida) will go for Biden, mainly because of health care issues.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Dave D on October 24, 2020, 10:25:46 AM
Winning the popular vote by just a double-digit margin would be a landslide ...(which, yeah, hasn't happened since Reagan.)

Exactly. After all the mail in votes Hillary allegedly  won the popular vote by the largest total number of votes ever, I think 3 million total. But in context of the total population or at least registered voters, it’s not much.

Every election is close. This one obviously will be no different as half the country has lost its mind.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Dave D on October 24, 2020, 10:30:42 AM
Ohio and Florida will tell the story. I cannot see Trump losing Ohio, but in the old days the early margin in Ohio would have told the story. If Trump is only winning Ohio by a small margin, then Biden would be President. The difference these days is that Democrats are voting early and Republicans are more voting on Election Day, so “early margin” may no longer be a reliable indicator.

As a Biden supporter, I am happy that Biden signs are popping up right and left in Florida (which is 50/50, normally I would say for Trump). That means the silent majority of people in the middle are feeling more comfortable coming out of the closet. Guarantee that seniors (a huge segment in Florida) will go for Biden, mainly because of health care issues.

I’m not arguing Biden can win, obviously he can as well as Trump. I ask where you are getting the data on Democrat’s moving into Republican areas. By what percentages are they moving? And where are the Republicans going? Are they becoming dems?

Also if Trump wins Ohio by a small margin  he still wins all the electoral votes, so has does that help Biden? Trump lost the popular election last time.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 24, 2020, 10:44:55 AM
What percentage of the country is democrat? And what percentage of those have moved to “republican” areas? With the dems moving is there data tracking what political party moved into their former neighborhood? Obviously if dems are moving into republican strongholds someone had to leave, so where did the republicans go?

Where are you getting this data?



More Than 30,000 Cars Latinos For Trump Caravan


https://lerant.proboards.com/thread/25755/more-cars-latinos-trump-caravan
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 24, 2020, 10:47:39 AM
Ohio and Florida will tell the story. I cannot see Trump losing Ohio, but in the old days the early margin in Ohio would have told the story. If Trump is only winning Ohio by a small margin, then Biden would be President. The difference these days is that Democrats are voting early and Republicans are more voting on Election Day, so “early margin” may no longer be a reliable indicator.

As a Biden supporter, I am happy that Biden signs are popping up right and left in Florida (which is 50/50, normally I would say for Trump). That means the silent majority of people in the middle are feeling more comfortable coming out of the closet. Guarantee that seniors (a huge segment in Florida) will go for Biden, mainly because of health care issues.

Yes, Ohio & Florida are "must wins" for Trump. But Biden doesn't need them for a viable path.  Of course, if Biden wins either, then it'll be "Goodnight Irene" for Trump quickly.  Biden just has to win PA, MI & WI (which Trump won last time by only half a percentage point combined) ... and that's not even considering the 28 electoral votes that Biden has a pretty good shot at in NC + AZ + NE2 + ME2.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 24, 2020, 10:51:08 AM
I’m not arguing Biden can win, obviously he can as well as Trump. I ask where you are getting the data on Democrat’s moving into Republican areas. By what percentages are they moving? And where are the Republicans going? Are they becoming dems?

Also if Trump wins Ohio by a small margin  he still wins all the electoral votes, so has does that help Biden? Trump lost the popular election last time.

Two answers on states (and people) going from Republican to Democrat:
1. People tend to be leaving California, Illinois, New York for Arizona, Texas, North Carolina. Trump would argue because of failed policies in those Democrat states, and, even some Democrats like myself would say he has a point. Those individuals bring their politics along with their clothes and furniture.
2. Suburbanites, especially women and especially people who are more affluent, are morphing from Republicans into Democrats in suburbs throughout the nation. Lots of reasons for that.

Conversely, there are no segments that are going hugely from Democrat to Republican, although some entrepreneurial Latino and Black men maybe are going in that direction.

On Ohio, if Trump barely squeaks through, it means he will lose big in some other states. Ohio should be a cakewalk for him.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Dave D on October 24, 2020, 10:58:56 AM
Two answers on states (and people) going from Republican to Democrat:
1. People tend to be leaving California, Illinois, New York for Arizona, Texas, North Carolina. Trump would argue because of failed policies in those Democrat states, and, even some Democrats like myself would say he has a point. Those individuals bring their politics along with their clothes and furniture.
2. Suburbanites, especially women and especially people who are more affluent, are morphing from Republicans into Democrats in suburbs throughout the nation. Lots of reasons for that.

Conversely, there are no segments that are going hugely from Democrat to Republican, although some entrepreneurial Latino and Black men maybe are going in that direction.

Thank you.

This makes sense although for all the citizens fleeing California we still have a record population. So either they are not moving in large numbers or people are still moving here in record numbers.

That said I know many who have moved to Texas, Florida and Nevada for tax purposes.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on October 24, 2020, 11:24:40 AM
What percentage of the country is democrat? And what percentage of those have moved to “republican” areas? With the dems moving is there data tracking what political party moved into their former neighborhood? Obviously if dems are moving into republican strongholds someone had to leave, so where did the republicans go?

Where are you getting this data?


anecdotal.. just my .02 but based on the way too many to count friends who are real estate agents all over the country in former red strongholds they are getting flooded with blue state "refugees" who have biden bumperstickers and yard signs in their newly bought former "red" home.

The republican people who are selling aren't leaving the state, they are just "taking the money" from sky high sale prices, and running further and further in the middle of the "woods" and away from the cities no matter if that "city" is 100k people or 10k people.. they keep running and running in the same state away from populated areas and downsizing with cash in the bank

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Walter Sobchak on October 24, 2020, 11:31:08 AM

anecdotal.. just my .02 but based on the way too many to count friends who are real estate agents all over the country in former red strongholds they are getting flooded with blue state "refugees" who have biden bumperstickers and yard signs in their newly bought former "red" home.

The republican people who are selling aren't leaving the state, they are just "taking the money" from sky high sale prices, and running further and further in the middle of the "woods" and away from the cities no matter if that "city" is 100k people or 10k people.. they keep running and running in the same state away from populated areas and downsizing with cash in the bank

The movement from Blue to Red states won’t have nearly the effect on elections, now or in the future, that the unopposed liberal indoctrination of school children has had since the 2008 Obama era.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 24, 2020, 12:03:20 PM
The movement from Blue to Red states won’t have nearly the effect on elections, now or in the future, that the unopposed liberal indoctrination of school children has had since the 2008 Obama era.

How do you oppose that realistically? It’s just like Black Lives Matter: OK, if you don’t like the way the police operate, then sign up yourself to be a police officer (and you will see what they encounter). Well, if you think teachers and their curriculum are too liberal, sign up to be a teacher. It’s pretty easy to be your own version of fair and balanced behind the closed doors of your classroom.

The bottom line is that more conservative type people sign up to be police officers and more liberal people sign up to be school teachers. That probably won’t change too soon, although it would be very healthy for them to both exchange roles for a couple/three months.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 24, 2020, 12:20:15 PM

anecdotal.. just my .02 but based on the way too many to count friends who are real estate agents all over the country in former red strongholds they are getting flooded with blue state "refugees" who have biden bumperstickers and yard signs in their newly bought former "red" home.

The republican people who are selling aren't leaving the state, they are just "taking the money" from sky high sale prices, and running further and further in the middle of the "woods" and away from the cities no matter if that "city" is 100k people or 10k people.. they keep running and running in the same state away from populated areas and downsizing with cash in the bank

That is an interesting observation from the realtors. Therefore, it is not just that suburbanites are morphing individually from Republican to Democrat (that is definitely happening for many suburban women), but it may be just as much the fact that the Republicans and conservatives in those suburbs, turned off by what’s happening in their smaller or larger metropolitan areas, are moving further and further out into the countryside, which helps explain why those rural counties often vote 70 to 90 percent Republican.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Humble Narcissist on October 24, 2020, 12:29:44 PM
The movement from Blue to Red states won’t have nearly the effect on elections, now or in the future, that the unopposed liberal indoctrination of school children has had since the 2008 Obama era.
Agreed, climate change has these kids scared to death that there will be no planet in 50 years.  It's ridiculous.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 24, 2020, 01:18:19 PM
What percentage of the country is democrat? And what percentage of those have moved to “republican” areas? With the dems moving is there data tracking what political party moved into their former neighborhood? Obviously if dems are moving into republican strongholds someone had to leave, so where did the republicans go?

Where are you getting this data?

Someone had to leave? Not necessarily. Populations have been known to increase, even in states like Iowa (see graph).

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Dave D on October 24, 2020, 02:00:56 PM
Someone had to leave? Not necessarily. Populations have been known to increase, even in states like Iowa (see graph).

Yes. To my point the Democrats left one state,  e.g California, to another but California still has an all time record high population. Only Democrats move out and new Democrats replace them?

So if populations are increasing in general and the only people moving in are Democrats the Republicans stand zero chance of ever winning a Presidential election.

Two parties representing 330 million people..... that’s the real joke, LOL
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 25, 2020, 09:40:44 AM
Yes. To my point the Democrats left one state,  e.g California, to another but California still has an all time record high population. Only Democrats move out and new Democrats replace them?

So if populations are increasing in general and the only people moving in are Democrats the Republicans stand zero chance of ever winning a Presidential election.

Two parties representing 330 million people..... that’s the real joke, LOL

The Republican Party does need to deal with what it will represent and how it will come across in the future, to counteract all this. California was just as Republican as Democrat (or more) during Reagan’s era as Governor. Even Arnold was Republican there more recently (twice). But the Republican “brand” is now SHOT in CA and that exact same thing could happen down the road in places like Arizona and Texas and Georgia and North Carolina.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: chaos on October 25, 2020, 09:47:59 AM
The Republican Party does need to deal with what it will represent and how it will come across in the future, to counteract all this. California was just as Republican as Democrat (or more) during Reagan’s era as Governor. Even Arnold was Republican there more recently (twice). But the Republican “brand” is now SHOT in CA and that exact same thing could happen down the road in places like Arizona and Texas and Georgia and North Carolina.
People saying that Republican brand is shot in CA need to take a closer look at what's been happening this past year, more and more the right is taking to the streets to celebrate and it's been an impressive display.


Yes. To my point the Democrats left one state,  e.g California, to another but California still has an all time record high population. Only Democrats move out and new Democrats replace them?

So if populations are increasing in general and the only people moving in are Democrats the Republicans stand zero chance of ever winning a Presidential election.

Two parties representing 330 million people..... that’s the real joke, LOL
You must be a Jo Jorgensen fan.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: hardgainerj on October 25, 2020, 09:55:23 AM
The Republican Party does need to deal with what it will represent and how it will come across in the future, to counteract all this. California was just as Republican as Democrat (or more) during Reagan’s era as Governor. Even Arnold was Republican there more recently (twice). But the Republican “brand” is now SHOT in CA and that exact same thing could happen down the road in places like Arizona and Texas and Georgia and North Carolina.
demographics ,something the Republicans have been PC in addressing the issue
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 25, 2020, 10:02:42 AM
If you vote democrat then you are a socialist.  You're not an American. You're a globalist cuckold who has some perverse desire to see our Nation ball-gagged and ass-fucked by the turd worlders.

And that's the truth.    Fuck all dems.  Fuck 'em to Hades. 
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Dave D on October 25, 2020, 10:26:21 AM
People saying that Republican brand is shot in CA need to take a closer look at what's been happening this past year, more and more the right is taking to the streets to celebrate and it's been an impressive display.

You must be a Jo Jorgensen fan.

You must identify with political sides.


You’re worse off than a liberal.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 25, 2020, 10:29:52 AM
You must identify with political sides.


You’re worse off than a liberal.

Chaos may well be as I am.  I am an American.  dems are socialist cuckolds. 
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: OlympiaGym on October 25, 2020, 01:56:37 PM
Biden still favored by the bookies.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 25, 2020, 02:02:31 PM
Biden still favored by the bookies.

Don’t put too much stock in that. The money was equally on to Hillary last election up to the last minute and did not tumble until evening results were coming in on Election Day. Hope they are correct, but not much more reliable than pollsters.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: pamith on October 25, 2020, 02:34:08 PM
Trump will win
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 25, 2020, 02:45:49 PM
Don’t put too much stock in that. The money was equally on to Hillary last election up to the last minute and did not tumble until evening results were coming in on Election Day. Hope they are correct, but not much more reliable than pollsters.

Early pools are essentially meaningless. The big money comes in late.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 25, 2020, 10:18:44 PM
BRUTAL!




Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: BB on October 26, 2020, 01:48:07 AM
BRUTAL!






I thought it was just an ad by supporters like this one -

.

But that's actually Trump's main Youtube account, it's hilarious.

Biden isn't going to campaign hard, if at all for the next week, it's strange. There is also supposed to be another big drop today in the Biden scandal. Rumors are everything from more porno stuff to Hunter Biden hospitalized for something bad.

Interesting times, if I were the democrats I'd be sitting there with my head in my hands.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: IroNat on October 26, 2020, 04:00:36 AM
Trump to win this one.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Dokey111 on October 26, 2020, 04:58:15 AM
I am hoping for four more years of liberal tears to really get the job done
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: MAXX on October 26, 2020, 06:11:45 AM
lol Trump has been putting up some great content on his youtube lately
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: BB on October 26, 2020, 06:22:38 AM
New stuff on Hunter Biden -

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/10/breaking-exclusive-text-messages-show-vp-biden-wife-brother-key-family-members-aware-concerned-colluded-suppress-hunters-actions-around-certain-minor/ .
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 26, 2020, 07:24:20 AM
New stuff on Hunter Biden -

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/10/breaking-exclusive-text-messages-show-vp-biden-wife-brother-key-family-members-aware-concerned-colluded-suppress-hunters-actions-around-certain-minor/ .

Sorry but only people already firmly committed to Trump care about Hunter Biden, or even understand it. Same was true about Russia collusion. Only true Trump haters paid attention to it or even understood it.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 26, 2020, 07:42:53 AM
Sorry but only people already firmly committed to Trump care about Hunter Biden, or even understand it. Same was true about Russia collusion. Only true Trump haters paid attention to it or even understood it.

I agree with you that he’s not a primary issue in the election but he is a side issue and it’s very bizarre that nobody can remember ever seeing or hearing from this guy for the entirety of the campaign.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: BB on October 26, 2020, 07:51:46 AM
Sorry but only people already firmly committed to Trump care about Hunter Biden, or even understand it. Same was true about Russia collusion. Only true Trump haters paid attention to it or even understood it.

It still kills the Biden campaign somewhat. Just about a week left in the election, and they can't even run it normally without worrying that the candidate's weirdo son is going to be brought up, and maybe have Joe spaz out. Who knows what else is on there.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 26, 2020, 08:09:11 AM
I agree with you that he’s not a primary issue in the election but he is a side issue and it’s very bizarre that nobody can remember ever seeing or hearing from this guy for the entirety of the campaign.

He has been an embarrassment to his father. But most families have a black sheep, plus whatever else Biden has been through after the car accident and his other military veteran son cancer death. So it cancels out, and the Dad took money angle just doesn’t stick given Biden’s personality. If people think about it (which there is too much else to think about right now) they may think, well yes, his Dad may have helped get him set up, but even that they understand from their own lives.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 26, 2020, 09:32:06 AM
He has been an embarrassment to his father. But most families have a black sheep, plus whatever else Biden has been through after the car accident and his other military veteran son cancer death. So it cancels out, and the Dad took money angle just doesn’t stick given Biden’s personality. If people think about it (which there is too much else to think about right now) they may think, well yes, his Dad may have helped get him set up, but even that they understand from their own lives.

The stuff coming out today is of a sexual nature and apparently there’s more to come. Suburban moms might not understand a money laundering scheme in the Ukraine but they do understand a sex scandal involving young women.

This dude ain’t helping.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: epic is back on October 26, 2020, 09:37:48 AM
They will sacrifice him

Then play up how it’s all somone else’s fault

Just the distraction they hope for


But they are sunk

They have to much dirt and blood on their hands
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Mr Anabolic on October 26, 2020, 09:46:31 AM
There's probably going to be massive rioting after Trump wins, but it will all be worth it. 

The loud wailing, screaming and crying by all the pathetic libtard commies will be very satisfying.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 26, 2020, 10:01:41 AM
There's probably going to be massive rioting after Trump wins, but it will all be worth it. 

The loud wailing, screaming and crying by all the pathetic libtard commies will be very satisfying.

Yup.  In the House of Prime there will be much wailing and gnashing of dentures...
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Fortress on October 26, 2020, 10:21:33 AM
If you vote democrat then you are a socialist.  You're not an American. You're a globalist cuckold who has some perverse desire to see our Nation ball-gagged and ass-fucked by the turd worlders.

And that's the truth.    Fuck all dems.  Fuck 'em to Hades.

One-hundred percent, man.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on October 26, 2020, 10:44:15 AM
The stuff coming out today is of a sexual nature and apparently there’s more to come. Suburban moms might not understand a money laundering scheme in the Ukraine but they do understand a sex scandal involving young women.

This dude ain’t helping.

coming out where? I see nothing on my TV news
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 26, 2020, 01:20:30 PM
Yes. To my point the Democrats left one state,  e.g California, to another but California still has an all time record high population. Only Democrats move out and new Democrats replace them?

So if populations are increasing in general and the only people moving in are Democrats the Republicans stand zero chance of ever winning a Presidential election.

Two parties representing 330 million people..... that’s the real joke, LOL

People move for many reasons regardless whether they are Democrat, Republican, Reform, Libertarian, Socialist, Natural Law, Constitution, or Green Party.  People also change parties. In the general election, you can vote for any candidate you chose. If you are in a closed state, like Oregon, you can only vote your party in the primary.

There are a large number of Democrats in urban areas. In contrast many Republicans tend to live in suburban and rural areas of the county. But this demographic is changing as more and more people work from home. One reason that people living in large cities may be more liberal is that they are exposed to more variables. With the advent of the internet, social media and cable, people living in rural areas of the country are becoming more and more enlightened as to what goes on in the world.

You are absolutely right about the fact that the majority of people are either registered as  Democrats or Republicans. This means we are essentially a two party system. Maybe this will change someday.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 26, 2020, 01:24:07 PM
Yup.  In the House of Prime there will be much wailing and gnashing of dentures...

LOL! Surprisingly, I still have all my teeth.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: ThisisOverload on October 26, 2020, 01:25:45 PM
I have a link to all the crazy Hunter pictures that are being removed from social media, a bunch of drugs and women, most likely prostitutes.  A few cock pictures, old Hunter has a log.  No homo.

Now i just saw a picture of Malia Obama's credit card in some pictures from his laptop.  CT saying he's been banging her and they have pictures of them doing drugs.

Some pretty crazy shit, Hunter is like Charlie Sheen.

This doesn't bother me really, i want to see pedo Joe lose on his own accord.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 26, 2020, 01:58:39 PM
LOL! Surprisingly, I still have all my teeth.

There is more to you than what we read here or to be more precise, more than you allow yourself to realize because of what you have decided to present to the world.  And I do not speak of that which is base.  As my mother taught me, we seek immortality and all too often settle for immorality. 

Be well.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: hardgainerj on October 26, 2020, 02:15:30 PM
I hope biden doesn't win
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 26, 2020, 02:25:52 PM
There is more to you than what we read here or to be more precise, more than you allow yourself to realize because of what you have decided to present to the world.  And I do not speak of that which is base.  As my mother taught me, we seek immortality and all too often settle for immorality. 

Be well.

You have a very strange mind. How you came up with this really weird paragraph based my having all my teeth instead of dentures is absolutely bewildering. My abundant healthy teeth have nothing to do with either immortality or immorality. They do have something to do with my taking good care of them throughout my life and good genetics. What I've been told I present to the world by many is that I have a great smile.

You be well too
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 26, 2020, 02:36:54 PM

You have a very strange mind. How you came up with this really weird paragraph based my having all my teeth instead of dentures is absolutely bewildering. My abundant healthy teeth have nothing to do with either immortality or immorality. They do have something to do with my taking good care of them throughout my life and good genetics. What I've been told I present to the world by many is that I have a great smile.

You be well too

I cannot see your smile but I can read your sense of humor. 

Strange?  Really?  I think not. My mind is far from strange.  Slow, but never strange. If you wish, I will refrain from writing to reflect what I see in your words. Of course then I shall be as dull as Straw and as sophomoric as Howard.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 26, 2020, 02:57:27 PM
 :-*
I cannot see your smile but I can read your sense of humor. 

Strange?  Really?  I think not. My mind is far from strange.  Slow, but never strange. If you wish, I will refrain from writing to reflect what I see in your words. Of course then I shall be as dull as Straw and as sophomoric as Howard.

Don't change a thing about your posting style. I don't always understand your posts, so maybe it's me who is slow.

People see things differently. This is how it is supposed to be. Howard and Straw are never dull to me with the exception of Howard's profuse fart jokes.  ;D
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 26, 2020, 03:32:12 PM
:-*
Don't change a thing about your posting style. I don't always understand your posts, so maybe it's me who is slow.

People see things differently. This is how it is supposed to be. Howard and Straw are never dull to me with the exception of Howard's profuse fart jokes.  ;D

You have a sense of humor, trust me.  Straw is a fuckwit. Howard has a, if I may coin a phrase here, "touch of the fawns" (a play on the phrase "a touch of the Downs), as in "to fawn over".  I could go on but I think it best to rest now.
 
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tatoo on October 26, 2020, 03:34:49 PM
I hope biden doesn't win

vote my friend!!!
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 26, 2020, 05:07:01 PM
Biden bombshells dropping on Tucker Tuesday.


(https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/Screen-Shot-2020-10-22-at-11.53.20-AM-800x527_0.png?itok=k8TAMhJz)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 26, 2020, 05:19:30 PM
You have a sense of humor, trust me.  Straw is a fuckwit. Howard has a, if I may coin a phrase here, "touch of the fawns" (a play on the phrase "a touch of the Downs), as in "to fawn over".  I could go on but I think it best to rest now.
Yes, it is time to rest.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 26, 2020, 05:23:46 PM
Obvious that they wired Angela Merkel's name into his ear.


Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 27, 2020, 07:48:18 AM
so Trump was in Maine yesterday (trying to hold 1 electoral vote) and in Nebraska today (trying to hold another solitary electoral vote) ... while Biden is in Georgia today (which hasn't been won by a Dem since '92) . . . hmmm interesting.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 27, 2020, 08:00:09 AM
so Trump was in Maine yesterday (trying to hold 1 electoral vote) and in Nebraska today (trying to hold another solitary electoral vote) ... while Biden is in Georgia today (which hasn't been won by a Dem since '92) . . . hmmm interesting.

Another worrisome aspect for Trump. Running up and down Pennsylvania with big unmasked rallies to juice enthusiasm and get all over the evening news (which is definitely an understandable strategy in that state which is probably more important to him than any other) ALSO certainly riles up Biden voters in Pennsylvania to go out and vote equally as much as the Trump voters.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 27, 2020, 08:20:48 AM
so Trump was in Maine yesterday (trying to hold 1 electoral vote) and in Nebraska today (trying to hold another solitary electoral vote) ... while Biden is in Georgia today (which hasn't been won by a Dem since '92) . . . hmmm interesting.

He did three rallies in PA yesterday. Biden got shamed into coming out of his basement and went 10 minutes to Chester PA to speak to no one.

Nebraska is one of three rallies Trump is doing today.

Biden isn’t winning Georgia. It’s about helping down ballot races, not that he is of any value.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 27, 2020, 08:38:09 AM
He did three rallies in PA yesterday. Biden got shamed into coming out of his basement and went 10 minutes to Chester PA to speak to no one.

Nebraska is one of three rallies Trump is doing today.

Biden isn’t winning Georgia. It’s about helping down ballot races, not that he is of any value.

Yes, unlikely for Biden to win Georgia (or Texas) but very possible to win PA which would make it very difficult for Trump to get over finish line
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 27, 2020, 09:02:48 AM
Yes, unlikely for Biden to win Georgia (or Texas) but very possible to win PA which would make it very difficult for Trump to get over finish line

If Trump wins FL & OH and loses PA, he would only have to get one of these 4: MN, WI, MI & AZ.

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: IroNat on October 27, 2020, 10:23:48 AM
I have a link to all the crazy Hunter pictures that are being removed from social media, a bunch of drugs and women, most likely prostitutes.  A few cock pictures, old Hunter has a log.  No homo.

Now i just saw a picture of Malia Obama's credit card in some pictures from his laptop.  CT saying he's been banging her and they have pictures of them doing drugs.

Some pretty crazy shit, Hunter is like Charlie Sheen.

This doesn't bother me really, i want to see pedo Joe lose on his own accord.

Share the link.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 27, 2020, 10:49:42 AM
Mainstream news burying ALL Hunter stories as well as the BLM rioting in Philly.

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 27, 2020, 10:51:27 AM
I fear for his health!

Recordings of Hunter are now dropping:

"I get calls from my father to tell me that The New York Times is calling but my old partner Eric, who literally has done me harm for I don’t know how long, is the one taking the calls because my father will not stop sending the calls to Eric. I have another New York Times reporter calling about my representation of Patrick Ho – the fucking spy chief of China who started the company that my partner, who is worth $323 billion, founded and is now missing. The richest man in the world is missing who was my partner. He was missing since I last saw him in his $58 million apartment inside a $4 billion deal to build the fucking largest fucking LNG port in the world. And I am receiving calls from the Southern District of New York from the U.S. Attorney himself. My best friend in business Devon has named me as a witness without telling me in a criminal case and my father without telling me."

https://thenationalpulse.com/exclusive/biden-recording-spy-chief-and-sdny/
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Rascal full on October 27, 2020, 12:59:03 PM
I fear for his health!

Recordings of Hunter are now dropping:

"I get calls from my father to tell me that The New York Times is calling but my old partner Eric, who literally has done me harm for I don’t know how long, is the one taking the calls because my father will not stop sending the calls to Eric. I have another New York Times reporter calling about my representation of Patrick Ho – the fucking spy chief of China who started the company that my partner, who is worth $323 billion, founded and is now missing. The richest man in the world is missing who was my partner. He was missing since I last saw him in his $58 million apartment inside a $4 billion deal to build the fucking largest fucking LNG port in the world. And I am receiving calls from the Southern District of New York from the U.S. Attorney himself. My best friend in business Devon has named me as a witness without telling me in a criminal case and my father without telling me."

https://thenationalpulse.com/exclusive/biden-recording-spy-chief-and-sdny/

Supposedly that bald dude Bezos is the richest mofo in the world and he's worth approx 190 billion. Who is he talking about being worth $323 billion?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 27, 2020, 01:14:49 PM
Supposedly that bald dude Bezos is the richest mofo in the world and he's worth approx 190 billion. Who is he talking about being worth $323 billion?


He is on the left....but Joe didn't know.  ::)

Kenes Rakishev is his name, he is an associate of oil oligarch Timur Kulibayev...who is a good friend of...Prince Andrew....who is a good friend of a guy that hanged himself in a prison cell.


(https://www.the-sun.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/6/2020/10/NINTCHDBPICT000615474953.jpg?w=620)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 27, 2020, 01:56:04 PM
If Trump wins FL & OH and loses PA, he would only have to get one of these 4: MN, WI, MI & AZ.

In your scenario ... if everything else is the same as 2016, except Trump loses PA, and the above 4 states are the only ones "in play", then Trump would have to win two of 'em.

. . but if Trump took MN & WI and Biden carried MI & AZ then each would have 269!
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 27, 2020, 02:07:19 PM
Supposedly that bald dude Bezos is the richest mofo in the world and he's worth approx 190 billion. Who is he talking about being worth $323 billion?

I’m guessing he’s a chip off the old block and really meant million.

In your scenario ... if everything else is the same as 2016, except Trump loses PA, and the above 4 states are the only ones "in play", then Trump would have to win two of 'em.

. . but if Trump took MN & WI and Biden carried MI & AZ then each would have 269!


I’ll give you that but I believe NV is in play too.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on October 27, 2020, 03:35:56 PM
Biden 300+
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 27, 2020, 04:07:56 PM
Biden 300+

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Walter Sobchak on October 27, 2020, 04:22:32 PM
Biden 300+

The Biden family is the trailer park and hurricane Trump is coming!
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: loco on October 27, 2020, 06:58:29 PM
“I support Trump,” said Williams, 34, who describes his reasoning as based solely on the prospect of personal financial gain, since he invests in the stock market.

“I purely vote for my actual interests,” he said. “Neither candidate is addressing any of my needs as a Black man, but I do have one candidate that will give me a favorable tax situation.”

With one week left until the general election, some experts say Black men are a key demographic that could shock the country on Election Day and vote for Trump in surprising numbers. Since at least 2000, the percentage of Black voters who identify or lean Democrat has never fallen below 81 percent, according to Pew Research, but this year, Black men, like Williams, have been vocal about their interests and their belief they are often an afterthought of politicians who assume they will all vote Democrat.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/i-purely-vote-for-my-actual-interests-black-men-could-be-critical-bloc-in-presidential-election-174237805.html
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tommywishbone on October 27, 2020, 07:12:53 PM
Anyone who actually really sincerely believes that Biden & Harris stand even a 100-to-1 chance of defeating Trump & Pence is a clueless brainless dumb fuck with no grasp of America. Pull your heads out of your asses dumb fucks.

Trump by a crushing landslide. 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 27, 2020, 08:25:05 PM
Nothing to see here. Dem party owned by China.



(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ek9K24ZXUAAuzGA?format=png&name=small)

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ek9K5xEWAAAD5pO?format=png&name=900x900)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Agnostic007 on October 27, 2020, 08:27:51 PM
I really don't know who will win. If we learned anything in 2016 its that the polls can't be trusted. They allegedly tweaked the polls to address the problem from last time, but even so, I think it can go either way. If I were to bet, I would bet cautiously on Biden to win based on the current data. It's really all I have to go by and so that and a little wishful thinking has me predicting a Biden win
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Coach is Back! on October 27, 2020, 08:47:10 PM
I really don't know who will win. If we learned anything in 2016 its that the polls can't be trusted. They allegedly tweaked the polls to address the problem from last time, but even so, I think it can go either way. If I were to bet, I would bet cautiously on Biden to win based on the current data. It's really all I have to go by and so that and a little wishful thinking has me predicting a Biden win

Internal polls shows the external National polls aren’t correct even though they’re closer. I don’t who’ll win but at this point Biden is losing in all the battleground states and the margin is getting wider
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Agnostic007 on October 27, 2020, 08:48:48 PM
Internal polls shows the external National polls aren’t correct even though they’re closer. I don’t who’ll win but at this point Biden is losing in all the battleground states and the margin is getting wider

Link?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 27, 2020, 08:56:00 PM
You'd never know what reality was if watching mainstream news. They cheer the fact that Biden can walk.




Trump announces a rally 24 hours out and has 25k people. Believe your eyes.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 27, 2020, 09:25:19 PM
You'd never know what reality was if watching mainstream news. They cheer the fact that Biden can walk.




Trump announces a rally 24 hours out and has 25k people. Believe your eyes.

He is better at those stairs than I would be.  It would take me some time to get down them.  Of course libs would just as soon push someone like me down the stairs.  I have no doubt they would applaud themselves for doing so.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mryorkielover on October 27, 2020, 10:45:38 PM
Share the link.


https://gtv.org/web/#/VideoPlay_UI
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: FitnessFrenzy on October 27, 2020, 10:54:10 PM
Hunter went full tbombz
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: AbrahamG on October 27, 2020, 11:02:07 PM
Anyone who actually really sincerely believes that Biden & Harris stand even a 100-to-1 chance of defeating Trump & Pence is a clueless brainless dumb fuck with no grasp of America. Pull your heads out of your asses dumb fucks.

Trump by a crushing landslide. 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸

Stupidest post of the day.  You suffer from right wing TDS.  Seek help.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: FitnessFrenzy on October 27, 2020, 11:11:21 PM
Saw the Hunter videos. Jikes.

GTV, where the videos are posted, is made by Steve Bannon:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GTV_Media_Group
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mryorkielover on October 27, 2020, 11:14:34 PM
Saw the Hunter videos. Jikes.

GTV, where the videos are posted, is made by Steve Bannon:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GTV_Media_Group

Did you see the one where he is engaging with his underage niece????? Crazy
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 28, 2020, 03:09:59 AM
I really don't know who will win. If we learned anything in 2016 its that the polls can't be trusted. They allegedly tweaked the polls to address the problem from last time, but even so, I think it can go either way. If I were to bet, I would bet cautiously on Biden to win based on the current data. It's really all I have to go by and so that and a little wishful thinking has me predicting a Biden win

The current data is from early voting. As of yesterday, 65 million people have already voted. That the MSM is still talking about polls speaks volumes.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 28, 2020, 06:50:26 AM
Internal polls shows the external National polls aren’t correct even though they’re closer. I don’t who’ll win but at this point Biden is losing in all the battleground states and the margin is getting wider

lol
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: loco on October 28, 2020, 06:56:54 AM
I really don't know who will win. If we learned anything in 2016 its that the polls can't be trusted. They allegedly tweaked the polls to address the problem from last time, but even so, I think it can go either way. If I were to bet, I would bet cautiously on Biden to win based on the current data. It's really all I have to go by and so that and a little wishful thinking has me predicting a Biden win

Link?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Never1AShow on October 28, 2020, 07:08:17 AM
Link?

I'd settle for a link to something showing they tweaked the polls to fix being wrong.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 28, 2020, 07:42:18 AM
The final national polls for the 2016 race weren't outrageously off.  (Of course, it's only the battleground states that matter though.)

ABC/WAPO:  Hillary +4
Google:  Hillary +2
Ipsos:  Hillary +3
YouGov:  Hillary +4
Gravis:  Hillary +4
Fox:  Hillary +4
CBS/NYT:  Hillary +4
NBC/WSJ:  Hillary +4
IBD/TIPP:  Trump +2
Seizer:  Hillary +3

And Hillary won the popular vote by 2.1%.  Late deciders (who viewed both Hillary & Donald negatively) broke for Trump or stayed home.

More than half of the 2016 vote is already in, and there probably are not many undecideds still out there this time.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 28, 2020, 08:12:52 AM
The final national polls for the 2016 race weren't outrageously off.  (Of course, it's only the battleground states that matter though.)

ABC/WAPO:  Hillary +4
Google:  Hillary +2
Ipsos:  Hillary +3
YouGov:  Hillary +4
Gravis:  Hillary +4
Fox:  Hillary +4
CBS/NYT:  Hillary +4
NBC/WSJ:  Hillary +4
IBD/TIPP:  Trump +2
Seizer:  Hillary +3

And Hillary won the popular vote by 2.1%.  Late deciders (who viewed both Hillary & Donald negatively) broke for Trump or stayed home.

More than half of the 2016 vote is already in, and there probably are not many undecideds still out there this time.


Why was the mainstream media reporting that Hillary had a 99% chance of winning?  ::)

Polls will be tightening big time in the next 3-4 days. These people don't want to be Youtube famous again for the next 4 years.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Grape Ape on October 28, 2020, 08:13:46 AM
Can't imagine the Philly riots helping Biden in PA.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: epic is back on October 28, 2020, 08:14:16 AM
If it’s on tv

You can trust it’s not real
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 28, 2020, 08:14:46 AM

Why was the mainstream media reporting that Hillary had a 99% chance of winning?  ::)

Polls will be tightening big time in the next 3-4 days. These people don't want to be Youtube famous again for the next 4 years.


Act III


Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 28, 2020, 08:30:11 AM

Act III

who do you think will win the popular vote this time and by how much?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Body-Buildah on October 28, 2020, 08:55:46 AM
Polls are a joke, completely blown out of the water for any legitimacy back in 2016. No one (with a brain) pays attention to those.

The days of believing the media for anything are way long gone, over.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tommywishbone on October 28, 2020, 09:00:28 AM
Stupidest post of the day.  You suffer from right wing TDS.  Seek help.

Friendly $100 wager payable via Venmo within 24 hours of the election?  Perhaps a larger dollar amount? Please step right up.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Andy Griffin on October 28, 2020, 09:07:23 AM
who do you think will win the popular vote this time and by how much?

Irrelevant
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 28, 2020, 09:14:56 AM
Polls are a joke, completely blown out of the water for any legitimacy back in 2016. No one (with a brain) pays attention to those.

The days of believing the media for anything are way long gone, over.

About 40% of the total votes are already in. Everybody still talking about polls is a fraud.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 28, 2020, 09:23:38 AM
Irrelevant

Yes, for the winner of the electoral college.  But for those national polls that Thin Lizzy is bashing, it would be interesting to get his take on what the popular vote will be and compare it to the final consensus from the msm re same.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Grape Ape on October 28, 2020, 09:35:43 AM
Friendly $100 wager payable via Venmo within 24 hours of the election?  Perhaps a larger dollar amount? Please step right up.

Your confidence is admirable.

Personally, I can decide if this election is a straight referendum against Trump, with the believe-anything Karen housewife out voting Biden in full force, or if the silent majority is larger now, disillusioned by the ongoing violence, lack of lawlessness, and corrupt media.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 28, 2020, 10:58:06 AM
who do you think will win the popular vote this time and by how much?

I’ll go Trump wins by 2%

Now, why do pollsters not continually give out their projections for the Electoral College, considering that’s all that counts?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 28, 2020, 10:58:59 AM
who do you think will win the popular vote this time and by how much?


Good to see some libs tempering their expectations/positioning themselves for the loss where it counts, the electoral college.

Media and tech may be able to brainwash and hide info from a large percentage of the country, but the corrupt zombie Biden will never be elected by those that matter.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on October 28, 2020, 11:03:06 AM
Trump supporters way too confident... just sayin'
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: AbrahamG on October 28, 2020, 11:11:22 AM
Anyone who actually really sincerely believes that Biden & Harris stand even a 100-to-1 chance of defeating Trump & Pence is a clueless brainless dumb fuck with no grasp of America. Pull your heads out of your asses dumb fucks.

Trump by a crushing landslide. 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸

I said this post was stupid because of the 100-1 nonsense. Anyone from either side who thinks this is a slam dunk is beyond delusional. I'll never underestimate Trump but Biden is a better candidate than Hillary and I expect him to outperform her. I'm fine with a friendly wager. I'm pretty ignorant about Venmo though. PM me a link or some info.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Humble Narcissist on October 28, 2020, 11:20:14 AM
I said this post was stupid because of the 100-1 nonsense. Anyone from either side who thinks this is a slam dunk is beyond delusional. I'll never underestimate Trump but Biden is a better candidate than Hillary and I expect him to outperform her. I'm fine with a friendly wager. I'm pretty ignorant about Venmo though. PM me a link or some info.
Biden is a better candidate?  He has been holed up in his basement for months.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 28, 2020, 11:23:02 AM
Trump supporters way too confident... just sayin'


Tommy has that bet above, you going to cover it then?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 28, 2020, 12:50:35 PM

Good to see some libs tempering their expectations/positioning themselves for the loss where it counts, the electoral college.

Media and tech may be able to brainwash and hide info from a large percentage of the country, but the corrupt zombie Biden will never be elected by those that matter.

I predict that Biden wins the electoral college.  Could be a squeaker or could be by quite a comfortable margin.  But a Biden win.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Board_SHERIF on October 28, 2020, 01:33:20 PM
Biden's Job is to get elected and then he will step down, its already arranged.
Biden will most likely win, his win will be the most fixed/corrupted win ever, and I am including the entire world.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tommywishbone on October 28, 2020, 01:41:54 PM
I said this post was stupid because of the 100-1 nonsense. Anyone from either side who thinks this is a slam dunk is beyond delusional. I'll never underestimate Trump but Biden is a better candidate than Hillary and I expect him to outperform her. I'm fine with a friendly wager. I'm pretty ignorant about Venmo though. PM me a link or some info.

Reasonable. Very reasonable. 

And yes my 100-1 comments are just internet hyperbole. Nobody would offer 100-1 odds... Just too much downside.  However I do think Biden & Harris are abysmal candidates. Just horrific.  Trump ain't no beauty queen but he is an American first, last and every day of his life. 🇺🇸

No need to set up Venmo for a single wager. However I can recommend Venmo as a fast, safe way to pay or receive payment from almost anyone for almost anything.  Download the app on your phone.  It's free and easy. I'm an old fossil and I did it.

We shall wager "bragging rights" on the election.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Agnostic007 on October 28, 2020, 01:48:18 PM
Link?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-that-new-wisconsin-poll-that-has-biden-way-ahead/

https://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2020-53657174
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Agnostic007 on October 28, 2020, 01:51:00 PM
I'd settle for a link to something showing they tweaked the polls to fix being wrong.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-pollsters-have-changed-since-2016-and-what-still-worries-them-about-2020/

They basically didn't factor in education.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 28, 2020, 02:17:56 PM
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-pollsters-have-changed-since-2016-and-what-still-worries-them-about-2020/

They basically didn't factor in education.

There’s also Mail In Voting which has never been tried on this scale. Pollsters have no past history by which they can evaluate this variable. From everything I’ve seen, Vote by Mail has been a backfire.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Agnostic007 on October 28, 2020, 02:27:13 PM
There’s also Mail In Voting which has never been tried on this scale. Pollsters have no past history by which they can evaluate this variable. From everything I’ve seen, Vote by Mail has been a backfire.

Don't pollsters just poll people on who they voted for or are voting for? How do you think that will change anything? And how has vote by mail been a backfire?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on October 28, 2020, 02:42:00 PM
and this is FOX news

Biden already won baby!! PEDO is your new POTUS!! then you will kneel before Kamala/Pelosi 2020!!

(https://ewscripps.brightspotcdn.com/90/db/2000eed94a0289edf42f0aaaac69/kamala-for-web.jpg)

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/cook-political-report-biden-victory


"It's time to "sound the alarm" that Joe Biden is likely to be the next president of the United States, said Dave Wasserman, US House editor for Cook Political Report, on Tuesday. "

"Wasserman was one of the few political commentators who correctly forecasted President Trump's victory in 2016, writing in FiveThirtyEight two months before the last election that there is an "unusually high chance Donald Trump could win the Electoral College while losing the popular vote.""
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Never1AShow on October 28, 2020, 02:51:26 PM
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-pollsters-have-changed-since-2016-and-what-still-worries-them-about-2020/

They basically didn't factor in education.
"Monmouth University Polling Institute director Patrick Murray cautioned, however, that weighting by education isn’t a silver bullet. He noted that weighting by education in a postmortem analysis of their own polling in 2016 had only “a small impact on accuracy and on its own [did] not explain the supposed polling miss in 2016.” Still, weighting by education was, by far, the most common methodology change pollsters reported."

They write that whole article and it basically discredits itself halfway through.  They have no idea this year because they have no way to determine the Rona factor on turnout

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 28, 2020, 02:56:36 PM
Don't pollsters just poll people on who they voted for or are voting for? How do you think that will change anything? And how has vote by mail been a backfire?

Mail in  is essentially a literacy test for low propensity voters. It’s not that easy to get it done.

Where I am, you first have to apply online, wait for the ballot to get sent to you, fill it out and then send it back. And when you have a candidate with no enthusiasm like Biden it has a  strong possibility of not going as planned.

From what I’ve seen online, the return rate has not been high in battleground states and now that early voting has started Republicans are eating into the Dem lead. Trump has been shitting all over mailing. Republicans are all going to vote in person.

Republicans always out vote Democrats on election day. Early voting might just make this disparity even greater.

I’m not gonna post links to everything going forward. We’ll find out if I’m right soon enough.

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: AbrahamG on October 28, 2020, 03:17:58 PM
Reasonable. Very reasonable. 

And yes my 100-1 comments are just internet hyperbole. Nobody would offer 100-1 odds... Just too much downside.  However I do think Biden & Harris are abysmal candidates. Just horrific.  Trump ain't no beauty queen but he is an American first, last and every day of his life. 🇺🇸

No need to set up Venmo for a single wager. However I can recommend Venmo as a fast, safe way to pay or receive payment from almost anyone for almost anything.  Download the app on your phone.  It's free and easy. I'm an old fossil and I did it.

We shall wager "bragging rights" on the election.

Deal.  For better or for worse I cannot wait till all this is over.  Hopefully, we have a peaceful process next week and a peaceful transition or non-transition come January. 
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Body-Buildah on October 28, 2020, 04:03:17 PM
Deal.  For better or for worse I cannot wait till all this is over.  Hopefully, we have a peaceful process next week and a peaceful transition or non-transition come January.

Well said Abraham. 8)

Dont we all.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 28, 2020, 04:16:37 PM
Yes, this thread has been surprisingly civil by Getbig standards.

That said, I was asked for some proof that mail in voting is under performing. I believe this is a pretty good clue:



Eric Holder
@EricHolder
It’s too late to use the mails. Given Supreme Court rulings I urge everyone to now vote in person; early vote or use drop boxes. Protect your health but don’t let the Court and the deliberately crippled Postal Service deprive you of your most precious civil right. Plan your vote.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: AbrahamG on October 28, 2020, 05:27:02 PM
Yes, this thread has been surprisingly civil by Getbig standards.

That said, I was asked for some proof that mail in voting is under performing. I believe this is a pretty good clue:



Eric Holder
@EricHolder
It’s too late to use the mails. Given Supreme Court rulings I urge everyone to now vote in person; early vote or use drop boxes. Protect your health but don’t let the Court and the deliberately crippled Postal Service deprive you of your most precious civil right. Plan your vote.

I read it as though it's too late to guarantee a mail in vote will be there in time to be counted.  I don't see the connection between mail in voting under performing.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: chaos on October 28, 2020, 06:39:17 PM
Don't pollsters just poll people on who they voted for or are voting for? How do you think that will change anything? And how has vote by mail been a backfire?
Probably because people are lighting ballot boxes on fire, literally. :o
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 28, 2020, 06:54:49 PM
Anyone who actually really sincerely believes that Biden & Harris stand even a 100-to-1 chance of defeating Trump & Pence is a clueless brainless dumb fuck with no grasp of America. Pull your heads out of your asses dumb fucks.

Trump by a crushing landslide. 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸

And if you are wrong about the election, what will that make you?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 28, 2020, 07:03:27 PM
Internal polls shows the external National polls aren’t correct even though they’re closer. I don’t who’ll win but at this point Biden is losing in all the battleground states and the margin is getting wider

Really? What are your resources for this information. When I just now checked, Biden was ahead in all but one of the battleground states, Ohio. where Trump is ahead 0.6.

An examination of publicly released internal Republican and conservative group polling reveals they're also showing Trump clearly underperforming his 2016 showing.

Trump Campaign’s Internal Polling Shows Biden Winning by ‘Wide Margins’ in Key States. Daily Beast

GOP strategists eyeing dire internal polling say the distancing reflects a marked decline in support for Trump over the last 10 days.
Associated Press

President Trump has seesawed back into a one-point lead over Democrat Joe Biden in Rasmussen Reports’ daily White House Watch survey. Rasmussen Reports

1 point! Wow! He's destroying Biden according to that poll.  ::)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 28, 2020, 07:16:19 PM
And if you are wrong about the election, what will that make you?

It would make him wrong about the election but stll correct about who should have won.  The dims are now unabashed socialists.  As I stated elsewhere to vote dim is to be un-American. 

Portland will fall in a heap of ash.  So will your neighborhood and more. And why?

Because dimocrats "care" more about deviancy than democracy.  They want the Bill of Rights to become the Will of Leftists.


Yes I am that good at expressing myself and that in spite of my limtations.   PIty John is gone as he was so much smarter and better at this than I.

Amazing that someone as dumb as I understands this and yet you do not.   When they come for you, it will be like looking in a mirror albeit a "fun-house" mirror.   By the way, your spawn don't fight fair.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 28, 2020, 08:00:33 PM
WTF?


Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Moontrane on October 28, 2020, 09:22:34 PM
WTF?



There must've been copies of everything.  This is an incredibly bizarre turn of events.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tommywishbone on October 28, 2020, 10:10:21 PM
And if you are wrong about the election, what will that make you?

A completely out of touch dunce who is living in a dream world.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Humble Narcissist on October 29, 2020, 02:42:24 AM
and this is FOX news

Biden already won baby!! PEDO is your new POTUS!! then you will kneel before Kamala/Pelosi 2020!!

(https://ewscripps.brightspotcdn.com/90/db/2000eed94a0289edf42f0aaaac69/kamala-for-web.jpg)

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/cook-political-report-biden-victory


"It's time to "sound the alarm" that Joe Biden is likely to be the next president of the United States, said Dave Wasserman, US House editor for Cook Political Report, on Tuesday. "

"Wasserman was one of the few political commentators who correctly forecasted President Trump's victory in 2016, writing in FiveThirtyEight two months before the last election that there is an "unusually high chance Donald Trump could win the Electoral College while losing the popular vote.""
That Kamala will never make it to the White House because he's dead. :'(
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 29, 2020, 05:47:50 AM
WTF?




the dog ate my homework.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 29, 2020, 05:54:32 AM
Liberal media trying to throw cold water on a blowout GDP number. Horrible news for Libs:



GDP rose by 33.1 percent last quarter, but blowout figure is not what it seems.


https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/gdp-rose-33-1-percent-last-quarter-blowout-figure-not-n1245068
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: harmankardon1 on October 29, 2020, 06:34:28 AM
Liberal media trying to throw cold water on a blowout GDP number. Horrible news for Libs:



GDP rose by 33.1 percent last quarter, but blowout figure is not what it seems.


https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/gdp-rose-33-1-percent-last-quarter-blowout-figure-not-n1245068

Aren't they despicable.... There's no limits to how low they will go to... Everybody knows it.

If trump was to actually lose the election I hope he will start his own news network, I have heard this mentioned as a possibility..
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 29, 2020, 06:46:31 AM
Aren't they despicable.... There's no limits to how low they will go to... Everybody knows it.

If trump was to actually lose the election I hope he will start his own news network, I have heard this mentioned as a possibility..


Trump making huge gains among Hispanics is FL:

Yahoo is as Liberal as it gets:



https://sports.yahoo.com/poll-biden-holds-narrow-lead-100008593.html

ORLANDO, Fla. — Joe Biden has a narrow lead among Florida Hispanic voters but is running well behind Hillary Clinton’s 2016 performance, according to a new poll released Thursday by Telemundo.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: harmankardon1 on October 29, 2020, 07:00:52 AM

Trump making huge gains among Hispanics is FL:

Yahoo is as Liberal as it gets:



https://sports.yahoo.com/poll-biden-holds-narrow-lead-100008593.html

ORLANDO, Fla. — Joe Biden has a narrow lead among Florida Hispanic voters but is running well behind Hillary Clinton’s 2016 performance, according to a new poll released Thursday by Telemundo.

the polls are a fucking mess. They've got one with trump up 5, then two with him down 20..... That's a 25 percent inaccuracy lol.

What we do know is The majority of pollsters desperately want Biden and the dems to win...
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: harmankardon1 on October 29, 2020, 07:02:23 AM
If trump wins, the pollsters should be totally ignored into the future....

Let's pray he does win.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: OlympiaGym on October 29, 2020, 08:29:59 AM
FOX News just said that Trump has no chance in MN or WI. It also says GA is seriously in play for Biden.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 29, 2020, 09:24:55 AM
It would make him wrong about the election but stll correct about who should have won.  The dims are now unabashed socialists.  As I stated elsewhere to vote dim is to be un-American. 

Portland will fall in a heap of ash.  So will your neighborhood and more. And why?

Because dimocrats "care" more about deviancy than democracy.  They want the Bill of Rights to become the Will of Leftists.


Yes I am that good at expressing myself and that in spite of my limtations.   PIty John is gone as he was so much smarter and better at this than I.

Amazing that someone as dumb as I understands this and yet you do not.   When they come for you, it will be like looking in a mirror albeit a "fun-house" mirror.   By the way, your spawn don't fight fair.

Are you using the word spawn loosely? One definition of spawn is someone's offspring or children. If you meant to describe other Democrats, unless they are my actual children, they are not my spawn. If you think Democrats don't fight fairly, that's fine. I think some Republicans are liars and cheats, particularly one who has changed his party affiliation five times since 1987 when he was 41 years old....kind of old for someone to start exercising their right to vote.

Trump registered as a Republican in Manhattan in 1987 and since that time has changed his party affiliation five times. In 1999, Trump changed his party affiliation to the Independence Party of New York. In August 2001, Trump changed his party affiliation to Democratic. In September 2009, Trump changed his party affiliation back to the Republican Party. In December 2011, Trump changed to "no party affiliation" (independent). In April 2012, Trump again returned to the Republican Party.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 29, 2020, 09:30:10 AM
Liberal media trying to throw cold water on a blowout GDP number. Horrible news for Libs:



GDP rose by 33.1 percent last quarter, but blowout figure is not what it seems.


https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/gdp-rose-33-1-percent-last-quarter-blowout-figure-not-n1245068

Thanks for your link to an excellent article which many conservatives either won't read or will discount it if they do read it. 
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 29, 2020, 09:31:19 AM
FOX News just said that Trump has no chance in MN or WI. It also says GA is seriously in play for Biden.

These are the final 2016 Polls for WI. They’re either in the bag for Biden or incompetent:


Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 29, 2020, 09:33:48 AM

Trump making huge gains among Hispanics is FL:

Yahoo is as Liberal as it gets:



https://sports.yahoo.com/poll-biden-holds-narrow-lead-100008593.html

ORLANDO, Fla. — Joe Biden has a narrow lead among Florida Hispanic voters but is running well behind Hillary Clinton’s 2016 performance, according to a new poll released Thursday by Telemundo.

Yes, but as many Republicans like to remind everyone, HRC lost the election in 2016. This is a different election with entirely different circumstances.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 29, 2020, 09:36:25 AM
If trump wins, the pollsters should be totally ignored into the future....

Let's pray he does win.

Does this include internal polling by the GOP? Should we ignore them as well now and in the future?

Yes, praying might be the way for some people to go at this point because that's probably all the hope they have.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: IroNat on October 29, 2020, 09:37:53 AM
There must've been copies of everything.  This is an incredibly bizarre turn of events.

If copies weren't made they are very dumb.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 29, 2020, 09:41:17 AM
FOX News just said that Trump has no chance in MN or WI. It also says GA is seriously in play for Biden.

Speaking of Georgia . . . good debate there last night



The GOP will regain the senate seat in AL (with Tuberville defeating Jones) but how many GOP senators will bite the dust next week?  It's looking like a Dem majority.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 29, 2020, 09:48:13 AM
Yes, but as many Republicans like to remind everyone, HRC lost the election in 2016. This is a different election with entirely different circumstances.



Hillary lost Florida in 2016 and Biden is doing way worse there with Hispanics.

Your record on Getbig for most time being wrong will never be broken.

BTW, anybody still talking about Polls is a fraud. Almost half have already voted. It’s like being at halftime of a football game and the announcers still talking about the pregame predictions.



Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 29, 2020, 09:59:09 AM
WTF?





(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EldNMF-WkAgkbRB?format=jpg&name=medium)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tommywishbone on October 29, 2020, 10:19:26 AM


Hillary lost Florida in 2016 and Biden is doing way worse there with Hispanics.

Your record on Getbig for most time being wrong will never be broken.

BTW, anybody still talking about Polls is a fraud. Almost half have already voted. It’s like being at halftime of a football game and the announcers still talking about the pregame predictions.

Most Hispanics, unlike most "others" are hard working and don't want to see lazy fucks get free shit.

Trump will win Florida easily.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: OlympiaGym on October 29, 2020, 10:50:30 AM
Speaking of Georgia . . . good debate there last night



The GOP will regain the senate seat in AL (with Tuberville defeating Jones) but how many GOP senators will bite the dust next week?  It's looking like a Dem majority.

Brutal. Not sure why Purdue just stood there unless he’s resigned to losing.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Eldon on October 29, 2020, 11:02:08 AM
(https://i.imgur.com/Xfe1CDD.jpg)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Eldon on October 29, 2020, 11:03:33 AM
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on October 29, 2020, 12:15:34 PM


Hillary lost Florida in 2016 and Biden is doing way worse there with Hispanics.

Your record on Getbig for most time being wrong will never be broken.

BTW, anybody still talking about Polls is a fraud. Almost half have already voted. It’s like being at halftime of a football game and the announcers still talking about the pregame predictions.

It's only like that if the polls aren't current. Many people won't say who they voted for if asked. I know this because I have do phone banking in the past and one of the questions you ask if they say they have already voted is who they voted for. You'd be surprised how many people say, "That's none of your business."
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: denarii on October 29, 2020, 01:49:52 PM
I put two 6:1 bets on Trump to win by different margins from 270 to 329. May pay out would be $1000 or so.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: mphgrove on October 29, 2020, 01:52:57 PM
These are the final 2016 Polls for WI. They’re either in the bag for Biden or incompetent:

Well, gotta say that is persuasive.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: loco on October 29, 2020, 02:32:03 PM
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 29, 2020, 02:48:18 PM
Well, gotta say that is persuasive.

From my understanding, WI is a very hard state to poll. The pollsters don’t seem to capture the rural voters.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on October 29, 2020, 02:54:59 PM
Biden a lock now after this damning evidence.

https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2020/10/28/jared-kushner-bob-woodward-full-audio-coronavirus-pandemic-trump-vpx.cnn
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Kahn.N.Singh on October 29, 2020, 02:56:53 PM
(https://static01.nyt.com/images/2020/10/29/opinion/29faludi/29faludi-superJumbo.jpg?quality=90&auto=webp)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: epic is back on October 29, 2020, 03:01:09 PM
Brutal. Not sure why Purdue just stood there unless he’s resigned to losing.

smarmy little pip squeek that guy talking on the right.

no one deserves health care

pay for it you fucking broke dick losers

fat slobs with diabeetus can go die
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: epic is back on October 29, 2020, 03:20:30 PM
Biden a lock now after this damning evidence.

https://www.cnn.com/videos/politics/2020/10/28/jared-kushner-bob-woodward-full-audio-coronavirus-pandemic-trump-vpx.cnn

yes very dammming,

sort of same thing as taking documented  bribes and smoking crack and beating off on camera compromising your parents security to run for office

pretty similar
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: harmankardon1 on October 29, 2020, 04:16:36 PM
Does this include internal polling by the GOP? Should we ignore them as well now and in the future?

Yes, praying might be the way for some people to go at this point because that's probably all the hope they have.

You are retarded... Your confidence of knowing the result of a thing as unpredictable as a USA election ( and in polling!) says a lot about your total lack of intelligence.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: AbrahamG on October 29, 2020, 04:30:45 PM
smarmy little pip squeek that guy talking on the right.

no one deserves health care

pay for it you fucking broke dick losers

fat slobs with diabeetus can go die

You seem like a wonderful human being.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Walter Sobchak on October 29, 2020, 05:05:23 PM
You are retarded... Your confidence of knowing the result of a thing as unpredictable as a USA election ( and in polling!) says a lot about your total lack of intelligence.

He's only here because Petra and the family hate him and he wants to suck TBombz cock.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on October 29, 2020, 05:19:10 PM
yes very dammming,

sort of same thing as taking documented  bribes and smoking crack and beating off on camera compromising your parents security to run for office

pretty similar

Fake news.. I never saw any of that on CNN but they did tell me how Biden is the best choice
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 29, 2020, 05:25:26 PM
You seem like a wonderful human being.

I think the same as him.  I think people need to work for a living.  Remember, the early colonists tried "socialism" and it failed horribly.  Everyone wanted everyone else to do the work and so they...starved. When they opened it to a free market capitalistic society the colony flourished. 

I will grant you this:  Those that have burned, looted and harmed others in the name of social justus deserve to be punished HARSHLY.    Because your actions, how you behave and treat others in a civilized world determine what you deserve.  This is entirely different than what you have earned.  You can earn a living.  You can earn respect.

A free ride is not a right.  Remember this.  These lazy, disgusting people want to make the Bill of Rights into the Will of Leftists.  Fuck That Noise, my brother. 
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on October 29, 2020, 06:46:18 PM
Epic early turnout in Texas.

"Nearly 8.6 million Texans ... have already cast their ballot.  That number represents roughly 95% of the entire vote in Texas in 2016."

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/early-voting-gives-democrats-competitive-edge-texas

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: chaos on October 29, 2020, 06:55:55 PM
Anyone believing msm after seeing what they've pulled over the last 4 years is a damned idiot.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 29, 2020, 08:19:50 PM
Michael Moore starting to do a soft roll out of the "I told you so" in front of this Biden loss. The show hosts are in total pain here as he explains what is going on.

About Trump..."He's an evil genius, and he's smarter than us...I know we don't like to hear that".

Of course he puts on a brave face and still hopes for something else - the TDS is strong in this one....but he knows Biden is a terrible candidate.


Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Megalodon on October 29, 2020, 09:23:48 PM
Michael Moore starting to do a soft roll out of the "I told you so" in front of this Biden loss. The show hosts are in total pain here as he explains what is going on.

About Trump..."He's an evil genius, and he's smarter than us...I know we don't like to hear that".

Of course he puts on a brave face and still hopes for something else - the TDS is strong in this one....but he knows Biden is a terrible candidate.




Moore is a self-hating White "man" who tries so hard to win the approval of Marxists and uses all their terminology but comes across as a male Rosie O'Donnell.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: AbrahamG on October 29, 2020, 10:07:00 PM
I think the same as him.  I think people need to work for a living.  Remember, the early colonists tried "socialism" and it failed horribly.  Everyone wanted everyone else to do the work and so they...starved. When they opened it to a free market capitalistic society the colony flourished. 

I will grant you this:  Those that have burned, looted and harmed others in the name of social justus deserve to be punished HARSHLY.    Because your actions, how you behave and treat others in a civilized world determine what you deserve.  This is entirely different than what you have earned.  You can earn a living.  You can earn respect.

A free ride is not a right.  Remember this.  These lazy, disgusting people want to make the Bill of Rights into the Will of Leftists.  Fuck That Noise, my brother.

Certainly, there are lots of pieces of shit who don't help themselves.  But, I think about when unemployment was in the mid 3's and low 4's and yet we still had 25 million people or more uninsured.  That leads me to the conclusion that there are millions of people working in this country without insurance.  Or with shitty insurance.  That, to me is not right.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: POB on October 29, 2020, 10:17:09 PM
Moore is a self-hating White "man" who tries so hard to win the approval of Marxists and uses all their terminology but comes across as a male Rosie O'Donnell.

Male Rosie O’Donnell = gold well done
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 30, 2020, 06:47:54 AM
Top pollster Frank Luntz. I think we can agree his lack of discipline is sickening:
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Dave D on October 30, 2020, 07:23:51 AM
Certainly, there are lots of pieces of shit who don't help themselves.  But, I think about when unemployment was in the mid 3's and low 4's and yet we still had 25 million people or more uninsured.  That leads me to the conclusion that there are millions of people working in this country without insurance.  Or with shitty insurance.  That, to me is not right.

I agree with you on this,  however can you honestly say Obama care offered good and affordable insurance to EVERYONE? I can speak from my experience with it and I did not the same benefits as a single woman with kids that I knew. The insurance option wasn't "cheap" for me.

It would also be worth finding out the amount of Americans that paid the penalty while opting out of Obamacare.

At this point Im hard pressed to find a government run program that is efficient and ran well.

At this point the first option may be to eliminate pharmaceutical ads and see what health care costs are after that takes hold.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tommywishbone on October 30, 2020, 09:28:49 AM
Overheard a couple green haired, pierced nose, Starbucks drinking hipsters and they were very worried Trump could win California. They know their own fate and they are distraught.

🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 30, 2020, 09:37:49 AM
Certainly, there are lots of pieces of shit who don't help themselves.  But, I think about when unemployment was in the mid 3's and low 4's and yet we still had 25 million people or more uninsured.  That leads me to the conclusion that there are millions of people working in this country without insurance.  Or with shitty insurance.  That, to me is not right.

My brother and his wife owned their own (they recently retired) businesses for years and could not afford health insurance (their son was in college) nor could they afford to hire anyone and give them health insurance.  So, under the Obama plan they were FINED thousand and thousands of dollars. Why?  Because that was a big part of the plan.  The plannedemic ruined their once thriving business.  My youngest sister worked for over 40 years for a company that was, again, destroyed by the plannedemic.  It closed.  She has found another job but there went 40 years of hard work with good people. 

I talk to people that work at a nearby gas station/convenience store and they are part of a large co-op and they have good insurance and not because of Mr. Obama.  A great many of the so-called "homeless" are lunatics who should be in an institution.  They are a danger to themselves but more to others. When I visited my brother and his wife we went to a local Dairy Queen and while eating our food a man came walking across the street, screaming . cursing and flailing his pipe cleaner arms about at everyone around him.

He came walking toward us still screaming and cursing so I stood up to prepare for his apparent attack.  I would probably get knocked down if I couldn't get a grip on this twig but I also know that my brother and his wife have CC permits (they later told me they weren't carrying at that time, LOL!).  The loon stopped in his tracks and then went in another direction toward some poor soul in an F150 and proceeded to pound on the window and door of the truck with the poor man inside!  My sister-in-law said, "Well, he's obviously crazy but he's not stupid".  He did not come any further toward us because even I am larger and more muscular than a residentially challenged lunatic. I could've used Pellius then as I know he thinks the same as I do on these creatures. FTN.

So yes my friend. It sucks that everyone doesn't have everything (I had no health insurance for 8 or so years but I was young and did not yet have a job that could have provided it.  But that does NOT mean that everyone that does work should have to pay for my problems, especially by being FINED by Mr. Obama's plan ($$$$$ a year) because if you can't afford our insurance or any insurance you can pay for others insurance.  My family suffered that TAX levied by Mr. Obama and for what?  So Obama could feeeeeeeeeeeeeel good? 

I only know that stealing from those that work to give to those that don't is WRONG.  My brother and his wife paid for nothing other than Mr. Obama's ego. They got nothing but FINED.   I am not upset with you but with the reality of what the "Great Society" has wrought.

People need to get off their butts, quit pumping out children (illegitimate or otherwise) they cannot afford to care for and become productive members of a civilized world.  If they don't want to then give them a one way ticket to arab or african lands and let them see what hell on earth is really like.  People need to be held responsible for themselves and their actions.  If they are mentally ill, put them away and treat them. I put my youngest brother in a mental hospital because he was loony from meth and had threatened our mother. 
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on October 30, 2020, 09:46:23 AM
Overheard a couple green haired, pierced nose, Starbucks drinking hipsters and they were very worried Trump could win California. They know their own fate and they are distraught.

🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺��🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸

ROFL!!


Biden is taking Texas, NV, AZ, FL and the entire rust belt from my sources on the ground.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Humble Narcissist on October 30, 2020, 10:15:55 AM
Top pollster Frank Luntz. I think we can agree his lack of discipline is sickening:
He's annoying as he is fat.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 31, 2020, 11:39:32 AM
😉
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: GigantorX on October 31, 2020, 11:52:45 AM
Trump 310 or so EV
Wins popular vote
Big gains with minorities.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: IroNat on October 31, 2020, 12:08:39 PM
Well said, Sir Scott.

If I may be so bold as to quote your eloquence: "FTN".
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 31, 2020, 01:05:34 PM
😂😂😂

https://www.cnn.com/2018/10/21/politics/cnn-poll-florida-senate-governor/index.html


WASHINGTON(CNN)As the final two weeks of campaigning begin, Democrats hold an edge in both the gubernatorial and Senate contests in the key state of Florida, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. Democratic nominee Andrew Gillum holds a wide 12-point edge over his Republican opponent Rep. Ron DeSantis in the race for governor
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: funk51 on October 31, 2020, 01:07:51 PM
I agree with you on this,  however can you honestly say Obama care offered good and affordable insurance to EVERYONE? I can speak from my experience with it and I did not the same benefits as a single woman with kids that I knew. The insurance option wasn't "cheap" for me.

It would also be worth finding out the amount of Americans that paid the penalty while opting out of Obamacare.

At this point Im hard pressed to find a government run program that is efficient and ran well.

At this point the first option may be to eliminate pharmaceutical ads and see what health care costs are after that takes hold.
        everyone's situation is different. in my case I went from paying over 4000 dollars a year for health insurance to O and got better coverage. didn't have dental or eyeglasses under the wonderful 4 k plan. now tell me why i should hate obummer. ??? ??? ???
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 31, 2020, 01:26:14 PM
Well said, Sir Scott.

If I may be so bold as to quote your eloquence: "FTN".

Thank you my friend!😁
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 31, 2020, 01:30:46 PM
These Trump rallies are unreal. Dude is the Beatles of politics.

Btw, I’m calling Florida for Trump. It’s over there.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Dave D on October 31, 2020, 01:31:35 PM
        everyone's situation is different. in my case I went from paying over 4000 dollars a year for health insurance to O and got better coverage. didn't have dental or eyeglasses under the wonderful 4 k plan. now tell me why i should hate obummer. ??? ??? ???

I dont think you should hate Obama. I said Obama care wasnt affordable for everybody and obviously my experience and yours prove that. I also didnt like that it was "mandatory" but at least he provided an option to working people.

*that said I could afford Obamacare but it wasnt cheap and it wasnt better than my other options.

Im glad it was beneficial for you,  is it still today?



Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 31, 2020, 01:33:21 PM
        everyone's situation is different. in my case I went from paying over 4000 dollars a year for health insurance to O and got better coverage. didn't have dental or eyeglasses under the wonderful 4 k plan. now tell me why i should hate obummer. ??? ??? ???

Perhaps people like my brother and his wife made up the difference for you and many others by paying literally thousands and thousands of dollars a year in penalties because they did not have obamacare or any health insurance.  They thought it better for their son to go to college.  The health care they have now is ridiculously expensive With outrageously high Copays but their son has a degree now and they are retired, although in the case of my sister-in-law it is rather premature because the plannedemic put them out of business at least a decade too soon For her.   she quite young compared to me .

Yes my friend things are different for different people that's the way it goes in the real world. But as I've said before I don't think I owe anyone anything. They should not be allowed To tax the crap out of someone to pay for someone else's healthcare Or babies or laziness and I'm not saying that is you because you know exactly what I'm talking about my friend. ;D
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: IroNat on October 31, 2020, 01:43:17 PM
The part of the ACA that has gotten some people in financial trouble is their plan's high deductible.

For one thing, if you have a high deductible, it discourages you from getting care, and unless you have an adequate emergency fund, it can get you financial trouble.

Recall the study that said the average American has only $400 in the bank. The deductibles on some ACA plans, the cheaper ones, are multiple thousands of $$.

The ACA also did not address the big problem with American healthcare: Cost.

The ACA was a band-aid which gave insurance to a number of uninsured Americans by requiring other Americans to pay for them.

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: chaos on October 31, 2020, 02:17:20 PM
Certainly, there are lots of pieces of shit who don't help themselves.  But, I think about when unemployment was in the mid 3's and low 4's and yet we still had 25 million people or more uninsured.  That leads me to the conclusion that there are millions of people working in this country without insurance.  Or with shitty insurance.  That, to me is not right.
There's lots of reasons to be uninsured. Some of the younger guys I work with elect not to purchase insurance. It's not mandatory to buy health insurance.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Grape Ape on October 31, 2020, 02:30:24 PM
The part of the ACA that has gotten some people in financial trouble is their plan's high deductible.

For one thing, if you have a high deductible, it discourages you from getting care, and unless you have an adequate emergency fund, it can get you financial trouble.

Recall the study that said the average American has only $400 in the bank. The deductibles on some ACA plans, the cheaper ones, are multiple thousands of $$.

The ACA also did not address the big problem with American healthcare: Cost.

The ACA was a band-aid which gave insurance to a number of uninsured Americans by requiring other Americans to pay for them.

This is an explanation that many people didn't understand - Coverage does not equal care if you can't afford premiums and co-pays.

This is an area Trump has not delivered on - he got rid of the mandate, has helped with insulin cost apparently, but hasn't overhauled this system.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Humble Narcissist on October 31, 2020, 02:46:18 PM
This is an explanation that many people didn't understand - Coverage does not equal care if you can't afford premiums and co-pays.

This is an area Trump has not delivered on - he got rid of the mandate, has helped with insulin cost apparently, but hasn't overhauled this system.
It's going to be tough to overhaul.  Lots of special interests involved.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: IroNat on October 31, 2020, 03:57:11 PM
(https://media.giphy.com/media/8ML5MiJuYPG6Y/giphy.gif)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 31, 2020, 04:49:53 PM
I am so looking forward to seeing White liberal women go apeshit when Trump wins. It’s gonna be great.😎
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 31, 2020, 05:48:20 PM
Fire Alarm from WaPo. I guess Biden doesn’t need PA either😂


Democrats' anxiety flares about Pennsylvania - The Washington Post


https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/democrats-anxiety-pennsylvania/2020/10/31/10536746-1b19-11eb-aeec-b93bcc29a01b_story.html
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on October 31, 2020, 06:10:57 PM
In all seriousness... with the fan base Trump has voting for him...

If he doesn't win this....

I would bet that never again would any republican ever win an election again in my or anyone else' lifetime.

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on October 31, 2020, 06:14:09 PM
Iowa Poll: Donald Trump takes over lead in Iowa as Joe Biden fades


https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2020/10/31/election-2020-iowa-poll-president-donald-trump-leads-joe-biden/6061937002/


The president now leads by 7 percentage points over Biden, 48% to 41%. Three percent say they will vote for someone else, 2% aren't sure and 5% don't want to say for whom they will vote.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Dave D on October 31, 2020, 06:14:52 PM
In all seriousness... with the fan base Trump has voting for him...

If he doesn't win this....

I would bet that never again would any republican ever win an election again in my or anyone else' lifetime.

? Never, how long do you expect to live?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Moontrane on October 31, 2020, 06:23:14 PM
In all seriousness... with the fan base Trump has voting for him...

If he doesn't win this....

I would bet that never again would any republican ever win an election again in my or anyone else' lifetime.

? Never, how long do you expect to live?

After Obama’s win in 20008, the Left prophesized about the permanent Democratic advantage.  Even if Trump wins next week, I would not be surprised to see a Democrat win in 2024.  We go through cycles.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 31, 2020, 06:28:56 PM
After Obama’s win in 20008, the Left prophesized about the permanent Democratic advantage.  Even if Trump wins next week, I would not be surprised to see a Democrat win in 2024.  We go through cycles.

Civilized people should remain vigilant and work toward exorcising this evil from all countries.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 31, 2020, 06:29:44 PM
when racist America finds an empty vessel to carry its emotions

(https://static.politico.com/dims4/default/f9f777d/2147483647/resize/817x/quality/90/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstatic.politico.com%2Faf%2F83%2Fdd2452784e9c8f274896567f65e1%2F201031-donald-trump-gty-773.jpg)

why does this rapist paint his face orange? has anyone told him that its looks stupid?

I hope you wind up in Chicago, little man.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Walter Sobchak on October 31, 2020, 06:36:00 PM
I hope you wind up in Chicago, little man.

I live in Chicago.

Even the blacks here don’t like blacks.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: The Scott on October 31, 2020, 06:50:55 PM
I live in Chicago.

Even the blacks here don’t like blacks.

My wife's aunt lives there near the museums.  Maybe we can deport dearth to Detroit?!
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on October 31, 2020, 06:57:02 PM
keep illegals

deport the democrapps
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Dave D on October 31, 2020, 07:43:58 PM
After Obama’s win in 20008, the Left prophesized about the permanent Democratic advantage.  Even if Trump wins next week, I would not be surprised to see a Democrat win in 2024.  We go through cycles.
Agreed, but to say never again in a lifetime is a dramatic statement. Half the country votes for a specific party.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on October 31, 2020, 08:31:44 PM
It's starting to turn a bit...wonder why? Actual coverage on CNN of Biden corruption:




...and also they allowed this opinion story to run:

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/30/opinions/donald-trump-deserves-second-term-jennings/index.html



Polls are changing really quick now.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: harmankardon1 on October 31, 2020, 09:54:28 PM
I'm amazed cnn ran that opinion piece above. They know...
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: POB on November 01, 2020, 01:24:32 AM
I hope you wind up in Chicago, little man.

Why because everyone is orange there?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Royalty on November 01, 2020, 04:33:19 AM
Why because everyone is orange there?

Coward, get ready to cry like a whore
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on November 01, 2020, 04:45:31 AM
It's starting to turn a bit...wonder why? Actual coverage on CNN of Biden corruption:




...and also they allowed this opinion story to run:

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/30/opinions/donald-trump-deserves-second-term-jennings/index.html



Polls are changing really quick now.

They’re trying to salvage their reputations. Won’t work. ABC WaPo  just came out with one that has Trump up 2 in Florida. They know it’s over.

The crying is already starting on Twitter. They’re trying to rationalize FL by saying  that North Carolina Georgia and even Texas are likely to vote Biden

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: oldtimer1 on November 01, 2020, 04:47:06 AM
This election is going to the Supreme Court. So many Blue states have gone to the unrequested mail in ballots. After November 3rd they will find out that Trump won and they will have the number needed as a goal to reverse that. They won't release the results but will keep having  ballots both real and fraudulent come in for Biden after the election date for a week that they probably have stored already. Then November 10th they will say Biden won by a razor margin. Don't think it can happen?  It already did with Senator Al Franken. He lost the election on election day but they said they had to count all the mail in ballots after the election date. Surprise, surprise all the mail in votes were for him and he won. 
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Humble Narcissist on November 01, 2020, 05:00:32 AM
This election is going to the Supreme Court. So many Blue states have gone to the unrequested mail in ballots. After November 3rd they will find out that Trump won and they will have the number needed as a goal to reverse that. They won't release the results but will keep having  ballots both real and fraudulent come in for Biden after the election date for a week that they probably have stored already. Then November 10th they will say Biden won by a razor margin. Don't think it can happen?  It already did with Senator Al Franken. He lost the election on election day but they said they had to count all the mail in ballots after the election date. Surprise, surprise all the mail in votes were for him and he won.
Yes, the democrats are good at this.  I'm sure Trump has a plan against it though.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: harmankardon1 on November 01, 2020, 05:03:05 AM
Yes, the democrats are good at this.  I'm sure Trump has a plan against it though.

It won't work they'll have to cede.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Humble Narcissist on November 01, 2020, 05:06:50 AM
It won't work they'll have to cede.
One plan could be to make up fake ballots for Trump just like the democrats will do for Biden.  When all kinds of votes come in for Biden on Wednesday and Thursday, all the Trump votes show up.  The libs will try to only have the democrat votes counted like they tried in Florida in 2000, but the Supreme Court will either make them count all of them or none of them.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: harmankardon1 on November 01, 2020, 05:13:22 AM
From the latest guardian poll collation.

"We must caution that the polls – particularly some swing state polls – severely undercounted Trump supporters in 2016. We are not certain, despite assurances, that they they have corrected this​. Additionally, they may be over-counting Democratic support (more people may say they will vote for Biden than actually turn out).

We present the latest polls with those caveats in mind"

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/nov/01/us-election-polls-tracker-who-is-leading-in-swing-states-trump-or-biden
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: funk51 on November 01, 2020, 05:55:19 AM
I dont think you should hate Obama. I said Obama care wasnt affordable for everybody and obviously my experience and yours prove that. I also didnt like that it was "mandatory" but at least he provided an option to working people.

*that said I could afford Obamacare but it wasnt cheap and it wasnt better than my other options.

Im glad it was beneficial for you,  is it still today?
  even more so constantly giving you stuff ,35 bucks a month from cvs  for free. for just saying i exercise a 75 dollar amazon gift certificate. trump should just have taken off the mandatory penalty and called it trumpcare, now that would be a win win.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: funk51 on November 01, 2020, 05:59:49 AM
Perhaps people like my brother and his wife made up the difference for you and many others by paying literally thousands and thousands of dollars a year in penalties because they did not have obamacare or any health insurance.  They thought it better for their son to go to college.  The health care they have now is ridiculously expensive With outrageously high Copays but their son has a degree now and they are retired, although in the case of my sister-in-law it is rather premature because the plannedemic put them out of business at least a decade too soon For her.   she quite young compared to me .

Yes my friend things are different for different people that's the way it goes in the real world. But as I've said before I don't think I owe anyone anything. They should not be allowed To tax the crap out of someone to pay for someone else's healthcare Or babies or laziness and I'm not saying that is you because you know exactly what I'm talking about my friend. ;D
    i know i just stumbled into this great plan, by someone telling me about it. otherwise i still would be paying the 4 k a year or probably more. i started working at age 16 and worked 60 plus hours a week for most of my life. i paid into social security all those years would hate to see it go the way of the dinosaur at this point in life.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Never1AShow on November 01, 2020, 06:03:20 AM
https://www.post-gazette.com/opinion/editorials/2020/10/31/editorial-donald-trump-joe-biden-mike-pence-kamala-harris-presidential-candidate-endorsement/stories/202010310021

Pittsburgh biggest paper endorses Trump
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Dave D on November 01, 2020, 06:36:30 AM
They’re trying to salvage their reputations. Won’t work. ABC WaPo  just came out with one that has Trump up 2 in Florida. They know it’s over.

The crying is already starting on Twitter. They’re trying to rationalize FL by saying  that North Carolina Georgia and even Texas are likely to vote Biden

You've nailed this.

I dont know how  people can trust the prognosticators after this. Their bias should be obvious by now.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: SOMEPARTS on November 01, 2020, 06:34:11 PM
(https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/3RJp8XuLEuAZFZVOWnBwIQ--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTk2MDtoPTkzMC43ODU4MjQzNDUxNDY0/https://media-mbst-pub-ue1.s3.amazonaws.com/creatr-uploaded-images/2020-10/8841e740-17d7-11eb-aeff-a5cfa3dea8aa)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Agnostic007 on November 02, 2020, 08:58:29 PM
In all seriousness... with the fan base Trump has voting for him...

If he doesn't win this....

I would bet that never again would any republican ever win an election again in my or anyone else' lifetime.

Oddly, I was just telling someone that if Trump wins another term, there's no chance Democrat's will ever win the Presidency in at least a couple decades.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Andy Griffin on November 03, 2020, 02:40:17 AM
Oddly, I was just telling someone that if Trump wins another term, there's no chance Democrat's will ever win the Presidency in at least a couple decades.

While I would like to believe this, I don't think it is true.  History generally favors a switch every 8-12 years.  My cynical nature also leads me to believe that the two major parties do what they can (behind the scenes, of course) to prop each other just enough so that no other party can gain a real foothold.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Kwon on November 03, 2020, 02:43:06 AM
Oddly, I was just telling someone that if Trump wins another term, there's no chance Democrat's will ever win the Presidency in at least a couple decades.

That would be a dream-scenario
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Tapeworm on November 03, 2020, 04:28:03 AM
The Left has overplayed its hand badly. No one believes the propaganda because it's so plainly incredible. The Right is not without sin but people are sick to death of purple haired white chicks' incessant crusading, the baseless vilification of white males, and the uneasy sense that they're next up on the guillotine if they don't parrot the daily virtue-phrase with sufficient gusto.

I say the bozo in chief wins another 4 years by anti-neoliberal protest vote. No one seems to be discussing policies at all, so it's just down to a visceral sense who who you belong most with, and the Left have been driving people into Trump's camp for awhile now.

The Dems are idiots. All they had to do was run Tulsi, be a centrist party of the working class (which was their thing until Trump ran off with it) and ditch all this social justice horseshit. It was a slam dunk and they missed again.

Imo. Guess we'll see.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on November 03, 2020, 02:03:17 PM
Lots of Trump optimism in this thread, with most predicting that Trump will be re-elected.

So, let's see . . .
the ones who are predicting a Biden victory (or are saying it's more likely than not) are:

OneMoreRep
honest
Primemuscle
mphgrave
AbrahamG
OlympiaGym
Agnostic007
tom joad
dearth (... I think)
and maybe TheGrinch (?)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Kwon on November 03, 2020, 02:16:39 PM
Lots of Trump optimism in this thread, with most predicting that Trump will be re-elected.

So, let's see . . .
the ones who are predicting a Biden victory (or are saying it's more likely than not) are:

OneMoreRep
honest
Primemuscle
mphgrave
AbrahamG
OlympiaGym
Agnostic007
tom joad
dearth (... I think)
and maybe TheGrinch (?)

You can bet yer ass that these would vote Biden

dearth
Board_Sharif
ialin
RK
StrawMan_Ziruolo
Funk
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on November 03, 2020, 02:27:10 PM
Lots of Trump optimism in this thread, with most predicting that Trump will be re-elected.

So, let's see . . .
the ones who are predicting a Biden victory (or are saying it's more likely than not) are:

OneMoreRep
honest
Primemuscle
mphgrave
AbrahamG
OlympiaGym
Agnostic007
tom joad
dearth (... I think)
and maybe TheGrinch (?)


For the record I voted for Trump as Biden and his son are both PEDO's who need to be drawn and quartered.

Trump is far and away the best president this country will ever see or has seen.


PROBLEM is that every sign, person I know, contact I speak with says everyone is voting for Biden because "Orange Man Bad"
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Methyl m1ke on November 03, 2020, 02:36:01 PM
Oddly, I was just telling someone that if Trump wins another term, there's no chance Democrat's will ever win the Presidency in at least a couple decades.

Pence will run depending how the next 4 years go. If things go well he has a good chance.. Overall republicans have great talent. The left has mmm newsom? Omg gavin newsom for potus makes me sick.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: loco on November 03, 2020, 03:23:05 PM
 :D

https://www.yahoo.com/elections

(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EMJym2xXkAA0tfP.png)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Moontrane on November 03, 2020, 03:23:24 PM
Pence will run depending how the next 4 years go. If things go well he has a good chance.. Overall republicans have great talent. The left has mmm newsom? Omg gavin newsom for potus makes me sick.

I believe Newsom will run in 2024; Harris isn't done; AOC will be of age; Buttigieg again; maybe Beto; Yang; Booker; and Castro.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Hulkotron on November 03, 2020, 03:28:32 PM
Trump is going to win and I do not think it will be close:

Quote from: Left-leaning CNN
The economy was top of mind for voters as they cast ballots for president, according to preliminary results of a nationwide CNN exit poll.

And while they were fairly evenly split on whether the country's economy is doing well, more than half said the coronavirus pandemic has caused them financial hardship. Still, more say they are better off today than four years ago (around 4 in 10) than say they are worse off today (2 in 10).

About one-third of voters called the economy their most critical issue, while roughly 1 in 5 citing racial inequality and about 1 in 6 named the coronavirus pandemic as most important to their vote. Roughly 1 in 10 each cited health care policy and crime and violence as their top issue.

The majority of Trump and Biden supporters said they cast ballots more in support of their candidate than against his opponent, though Trump's base was even more loyal to him. More than 4 in 5 people said they voted for the President, while just under two-thirds of Biden's voters said the same.

The top quality voters were looking for in a president was a strong leader. One third said so, while just under a quarter were wanting someone with good judgment and just over one-fifth thought a candidate who "cares about people like me" was most important. Fewer than one-fifth were looking for someone who can unite the country.

When it comes to the issues, nearly three-quarters of voters said a candidate's position on the issues was most important, while less than quarter named the candidate's personal qualities.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/03/politics/exit-polls-2020/index.html
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: ThisisOverload on November 03, 2020, 03:28:55 PM
Such a shame a shithole state like Cali has 55 votes.  ::)

Prepare for some liberal rage in the next few hours.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Hulkotron on November 03, 2020, 03:35:02 PM
Biden up by 9 points in Kentucky of all places, with 8% reporting ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Mr Anabolic on November 03, 2020, 03:39:08 PM
Biden up by 9 points in Kentucky of all places, with 8% reporting ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Too early.  You know how many ppl have guns in Kentucky?  Most are not going to vote for Sleepy.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Andy Griffin on November 03, 2020, 03:40:49 PM
Too early.  You know how many ppl have guns in Kentucky?  Most are not going to vote for Sleepy.

Most KY votes for Plugs likely come from Louisville and Lexington. 
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: OlympiaGym on November 03, 2020, 04:18:25 PM
It will be an early night. FL is going for Biden.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Palumboism on November 03, 2020, 04:27:17 PM
It will be an early night. FL is going for Biden.


 ??? ??? ??? ??? ???

Trump is leading in 63 out of 67 counties in Florida.


Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: basil on November 03, 2020, 04:27:32 PM
I’m not turning on the TV until the streets resemble a scene from Libya or the Congo.  I’m only here for the meatshow.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: OlympiaGym on November 03, 2020, 04:38:08 PM

 ??? ??? ??? ??? ???

Trump is leading in 63 out of 67 counties in Florida.

So? He’ll probably win the overwhelming majority of counties but he will lose the urban and suburban areas where the population is centered. No Electoral College in the states to save him.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Andy Griffin on November 03, 2020, 04:45:54 PM
So? He’ll probably win the overwhelming majority of counties but he will lose the urban and suburban areas where the population is centered. No Electoral College in the states to save him.

The Electoral College is the measure by which Presidents are chosen.  They do not "save" anyone.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: OlympiaGym on November 03, 2020, 04:48:49 PM
The Electoral College is the measure by which Presidents are chosen.  They do not "save" anyone.

Yup. That’s where Biden/Harris will be elected.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Andy Griffin on November 03, 2020, 05:01:28 PM
Yup. That’s where Biden/Harris will be elected.

If they win the election, then so be it.  I tend to believe that President Trump will prevail. 

However, you hinted that the EC would "save" the President so your expressed confidence is likely less than genuine.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on November 03, 2020, 05:15:07 PM
Amazing... a pedophile is going to be POTUS...LOL

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Palumboism on November 03, 2020, 05:53:13 PM
So? He’ll probably win the overwhelming majority of counties but he will lose the urban and suburban areas where the population is centered. No Electoral College in the states to save him.


Decision USA just called Florida for Trump.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on November 03, 2020, 06:39:15 PM
Trump supporters right now

(https://media.istockphoto.com/photos/crying-redneck-picture-id478194864?k=6&m=478194864&s=170667a&w=0&h=EfyVVwV2QOjjvV1OZniBMzSfPUgxFfnb7NcJ3pO_D4c=)
Title: Looking Bad For Biden, But We Knew That Filthy Pedo Was Gonna Lose Anyway
Post by: loco on November 03, 2020, 07:43:48 PM
 :D
Title: Re: Looking Bad For Biden, But We Knew That Filthy Pedo Was Gonna Lose Anyway
Post by: gmflex on November 03, 2020, 08:21:08 PM

    ;D.                       ;D

Joe has taken the lead now that he picked up  California..

The Donald just picked up Florida..

Very close race so far

    ;D.                      ;D
Title: Re: Looking Bad For Biden, But We Knew That Filthy Pedo Was Gonna Lose Anyway
Post by: trapz101 on November 03, 2020, 08:33:22 PM
    ;D.                       ;D

Joe has taken the lead now that he picked up  California..

The Donald just picked up Florida..

Very close race so far

    ;D.                      ;D

not even close now it's 209 vs 118
Title: Re: Looking Bad For Biden, But We Knew That Filthy Pedo Was Gonna Lose Anyway
Post by: gmflex on November 03, 2020, 08:38:44 PM
   ;D.                 ;D

Trump will be picking up Texas.. which will put him very close to Biden

   ;D.                 ;D
Title: Re: Looking Bad For Biden, But We Knew That Filthy Pedo Was Gonna Lose Anyway
Post by: oldschoolfan on November 03, 2020, 08:43:07 PM
   ;D.                 ;D

Trump will be picking up Texas.. which will put him very close to Biden

   ;D.                 ;D

I am sure he will win Michigan Ohio Florida and Pennsylvania
Title: Re: Looking Bad For Biden, But We Knew That Filthy Pedo Was Gonna Lose Anyway
Post by: Vince G, CSN MFT on November 03, 2020, 08:56:41 PM
Actually its looking good for Biden because he's getting way more votes than Hillary could ever dream of not to mention that a number of the states are counting main in and early ballots last.  Trump will likely win ...but barely
Title: Re: Looking Bad For Biden, But We Knew That Filthy Pedo Was Gonna Lose Anyway
Post by: loco on November 03, 2020, 09:53:39 PM
 :)
Title: Re: Looking Bad For Biden, But We Knew That Filthy Pedo Was Gonna Lose Anyway
Post by: loco on November 03, 2020, 10:12:22 PM
.
Title: Re: Looking Bad For Biden, But We Knew That Filthy Pedo Was Gonna Lose Anyway
Post by: loco on November 03, 2020, 10:25:11 PM
.
Title: Re: Looking Bad For Biden, But We Knew That Filthy Pedo Was Gonna Lose Anyway
Post by: SOMEPARTS on November 03, 2020, 10:41:56 PM
Seems like the states that are unable to tally votes tonight all have Dem Governors. Hmmmm
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Gregzs on November 03, 2020, 10:44:22 PM
(https://scontent-lga3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/123729310_10158276124506234_2019415661133663595_o.png?_nc_cat=1&ccb=2&_nc_sid=9267fe&_nc_ohc=HhDa6P4RDwcAX-FXTmu&_nc_ht=scontent-lga3-1.xx&oh=87e81677de8695a630194bf4b4e93727&oe=5FC8549B)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: SOMEPARTS on November 03, 2020, 11:18:48 PM



Best coverage. Fox blew it.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: OlympiaGym on November 04, 2020, 04:31:03 AM
This should be re-titled the “Self Confirmation Bias Thread.”
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Kwon on November 04, 2020, 07:42:41 AM
I love that, when watching the threads in this forum at first glance, you'd think it was a Political Board! :D


Must be fun for all those fresh young aspiring bodybuilders joining this forum! :D
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: tom joad on November 06, 2020, 09:05:45 AM
Georgia now is looking like 50/50 too.  But, yeah, winning it would be just gravy for Biden.

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on November 06, 2020, 09:09:53 AM


They already announced a recount.

This is going to the courts and will be decided by judges.

For those familiar with horse racing, there is a Steward’s Inquiry.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: TheGrinch on November 06, 2020, 10:17:02 AM
They already announced a recount.

This is going to the courts and will be decided by judges.

For those familiar with horse racing, there is a Steward’s Inquiry.

and for those familiar with Yonkers Harness Racing... he who pays off the Steward wins...
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: SOMEPARTS on November 06, 2020, 10:18:57 AM
The tweet below pretty much sums it up - any liberal care to explain?:


"Biden outperforms Senators in swing states, underperforms in VA, NH, RI

Biden underperforms Hillary/Obama in cities, except in MI, PA, GA, WI

Biden mail-in dumps with 100% margins

GOP lose ZERO House races"



I would add to that list that the anomaly that Biden gets 100k more votes than the Dem Senator on the same ballot is pretty easy to explain. They were frantically marking one box on fake mail in ballots from old voter rolls to stuff the ballot box.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Dave D on November 06, 2020, 10:31:14 AM
The tweet below pretty much sums it up - any liberal care to explain?:


"Biden outperforms Senators in swing states, underperforms in VA, NH, RI

Biden underperforms Hillary/Obama in cities, except in MI, PA, GA, WI

Biden mail-in dumps with 100% margins

GOP lose ZERO House races"



I would add to that list that the anomaly that Biden gets 100k more votes than the Dem Senator on the same ballot is pretty easy to explain. They were frantically marking one box on fake mail in ballots from old voter rolls to stuff the ballot box.

How many people do you think this involved? A handful or hundreds?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Thin Lizzy on November 06, 2020, 10:40:36 AM
and for those familiar with Yonkers Harness Racing... he who pays off the Steward wins...

Gotta give you that one.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: SOMEPARTS on November 06, 2020, 10:51:31 AM
How many people do you think this involved? A handful or hundreds?


It would seem there is a reason to just stop counting in the evening send the regular workers home.

So very early AM there's this dump of mail in ballots ALL Biden that magically make up all the lost ground from the evening before.

It would only take a handful of people higher up in the process in these swing states with a plan in place for this scenario.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Megalodon on November 06, 2020, 11:47:44 AM
Tabulation software is another issue: https://twitter.com/robbystarbuck/status/1324783531139235841 (https://twitter.com/robbystarbuck/status/1324783531139235841)

There is documented evidence viewable by anyone right now of 14000 dead detroiters registered this year: https://www.getbig.com/boards/index.php?topic=669413.25 (https://www.getbig.com/boards/index.php?topic=669413.25)

Backdating ballots: https://twitter.com/JamesOKeefeIII/status/1324529112506081280 (https://twitter.com/JamesOKeefeIII/status/1324529112506081280)

Q: Do Democrats steal votes?

A: Former Democrat Governor Blagojevich: "Is the Pope Catholic? It's a time honored tradition."

See and hear Blagojevich: https://twitter.com/robbystarbuck/status/1324800131540131840
 (https://twitter.com/robbystarbuck/status/1324800131540131840)

Dem cities have been rigging votes for decades but the republican establishment have been, and mostly are, weasels. Remember all the neocons like Bill Kristol who immediately became democrats when, under Trump, they could no longer massacre massive numbers of middle easterners and us soldiers to self-fulfill their psycho bible prophecy. They're on board and are your friends as long as you pay billions in foriegn aid and murder their enemies while killing your own children in the process. Indecisive limp wristed assh0le Paul Ryan, McCain, Romney, the Bushes? Whatever the Democrats stand for now, the Republicans will in 5 years. They're just the brakes. Back to business as usual without Trump, and even then Trump isn't perfect but was a decent upgrade compared to the Rep. swamp.

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread
Post by: Primemuscle on November 06, 2020, 01:40:01 PM
They already announced a recount.

This is going to the courts and will be decided by judges.

For those familiar with horse racing, there is a Steward’s Inquiry.

A recount was inevitable in Georgia. Two Senate seats were already targeted for a recount.

https://sos.ga.gov/index.php/elections/kemp_orders_recount_in_state_senate_district_43_race
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Agnostic007 on November 07, 2020, 08:36:20 PM
Man, I hate being right.....
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Gregzs on November 07, 2020, 09:21:29 PM
 ;D

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: TheGrinch on November 07, 2020, 10:21:26 PM
;D




269 to 269 = Biden/Trump

Biden croaks, Trump still POTUS.....lol
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: tom joad on November 13, 2020, 02:26:33 PM
Sleepy Joe flips the script!

306 to 232.

Four years ago, Trump repeatedly called this margin a massive electoral college landslide.

Trump got 306 EVs and lost the popular vote by almost 3 million.
Biden gets 306 EVs and will win the popular vote by approx 6 million.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: TheGrinch on November 13, 2020, 02:58:38 PM
Sleepy Joe flips the script!

306 to 232.

Four years ago, Trump repeatedly called this margin an electoral college landslide.

Trump got 306 EVs and lost the popular vote by almost 3 million.
Biden got 306 EVs and will win the popular by approx 6 million.

its beautiful. I'm going to cry..

Child Sniffers and Hoes for all!!

PEDO for POTUS 2020!!

Harris/Pelosi.. let's do this thing!


first step... let's make killing live babies already born legal!!

https://www.christianheadlines.com/contributors/michael-foust/infanticide-bill-mass-dems-back-bill-removing-protections-for-babies-who-survive-abortion.html
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Methyl m1ke on November 13, 2020, 05:08:15 PM
its beautiful. I'm going to cry..

Child Sniffers and Hoes for all!!

PEDO for POTUS 2020!!

Harris/Pelosi.. let's do this thing!


first step... let's make killing live babies already born legal!!

https://www.christianheadlines.com/contributors/michael-foust/infanticide-bill-mass-dems-back-bill-removing-protections-for-babies-who-survive-abortion.html

Joe biden is a fucking abortion.

/thread
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Agnostic007 on November 13, 2020, 07:00:26 PM
Joe biden is a fucking abortion.

/thread

and yet he won by what Trump and his followers would consider a landslide
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Thin Lizzy on November 13, 2020, 07:13:12 PM
and yet he won by what Trump and his followers would consider a landslide

The betting markets don’t seem to think the race is over:

A lot of motherfuckers on this board getting exposed for never risking a dime in their lives and counting the money before it’s in their hands.



Hundreds of millions of dollars pending as betting sites pump brakes on calling election for Biden


https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/hundreds-of-millions-of-dollars-pending-as-betting-sites-pump-brakes-on-calling-election-for-biden
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Humble Narcissist on November 14, 2020, 02:35:28 AM
The betting markets don’t seem to think the race is over:

A lot of motherfuckers on this board getting exposed for never risking a dime in their lives and counting the money before it’s in their hands.



Hundreds of millions of dollars pending as betting sites pump brakes on calling election for Biden


https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/hundreds-of-millions-of-dollars-pending-as-betting-sites-pump-brakes-on-calling-election-for-biden
Don't be surprised if the sports books don't attempt to block payments regardless of who wins.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: SOMEPARTS on November 14, 2020, 07:57:07 PM
Don't be surprised if the sports books don't attempt to block payments regardless of who wins.


Yes, the amount of fraud is akin to finding out the fight was fixed.

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Moontrane on November 14, 2020, 08:50:06 PM
I've not verified this:

"Moreover, the machines take an image of each vote and these images are what generates the vote tally. Since the election, and contrary to federal law, Michigan officials have been busily deleting the images."

This article goes deep into the weeds on vote-switching:

https://quadrant.org.au/opinion/qed/2020/11/the-vote-switching-ghost-in-the-machine/
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Agnostic007 on November 14, 2020, 09:15:54 PM
The betting markets don’t seem to think the race is over:

A lot of motherfuckers on this board getting exposed for never risking a dime in their lives and counting the money before it’s in their hands.



Hundreds of millions of dollars pending as betting sites pump brakes on calling election for Biden


https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/hundreds-of-millions-of-dollars-pending-as-betting-sites-pump-brakes-on-calling-election-for-biden

I got 5 grand on Biden winning. I wish I had went more.. its a lock.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Moontrane on November 14, 2020, 09:48:09 PM
I got 5 grand on Biden winning. I wish I had went more.. its a lock.

I wish I'd dropped more than a few grand on Starbuck back in 1997.

The clock is ticking - we'll know soon.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Agnostic007 on November 16, 2020, 08:27:45 PM
I wish I'd dropped more than a few grand on Starbuck back in 1997.

The clock is ticking - we'll know soon.

yes we will
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Tapeworm on November 16, 2020, 08:59:58 PM
No we won't. There will be no knowing. The compromised information we recieve doesn't permit knowing so we'll be left only with believing as best we can based on the information we choose to regard as credible.

Inevitably, the court will be decried as corrupt and illegitimate by the losing faction. Whether they have enough momentum to declare themselves to be the true and actual US of A is what remains to be seen. The current propaganda battle is being fought to determine the outcome of that attempt at conservative secession from the decision of the court.

People go apeshit all the time when courts make unpopular rulings. Lol @ everyone acting like a court decision will go unquestioned and resolve everything. We're further up Shit Creek than that.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Zillotch on November 16, 2020, 11:14:26 PM
There will be no knowing.

there will only be a final destination 

the left is alive and well, so that the tards run right

all of u r fuked... and just when u think that u r not fuked – you will in fact become exceptionally fuked.

pardon my french

any light thats left in the world, will be extinguished... reality will become misery across the board.... misery that intensifies with time.

morality and wisdom will be replaced with truly evil black hearts... sinister desires... which will play out in the most horrific, terrifying ways.

there will be no freedom, safety or choice for most... only survival; no peace, no rest... life will consist of constant fear, anguish, and death.

the subjugation and fundamental transformation of a divinely created man into an irredeemable, short lived abomination... before extermination - resulting in damnation.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: kreator on November 16, 2020, 11:59:59 PM
The betting markets don’t seem to think the race is over:

A lot of motherfuckers on this board getting exposed for never risking a dime in their lives and counting the money before it’s in their hands.



Hundreds of millions of dollars pending as betting sites pump brakes on calling election for Biden


https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/hundreds-of-millions-of-dollars-pending-as-betting-sites-pump-brakes-on-calling-election-for-biden

bet365  proclaimed my bet on Trump as ''lost'' some 4-5 days after the election day. cuntz
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Tapeworm on November 17, 2020, 12:23:32 AM
there will only be a final destination

You speak strangely, friend.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Zillotch on November 17, 2020, 12:45:21 AM
You speak strangely, friend.

sometimes I think, like... maybe I should cut back on the pot.

then I think – well, no... of course I shouldn't, dumbfuk.

and the drum beat marches on.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Kwon on November 17, 2020, 01:03:29 AM
(https://scontent.farn2-1.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/125982990_10157940789122781_8404971772444304615_o.jpg?_nc_cat=102&ccb=2&_nc_sid=8bfeb9&_nc_ohc=jseioS5Xf2cAX8kSAyt&_nc_ht=scontent.farn2-1.fna&oh=da7e24f027a05668e40feb94e3e742fd&oe=5FD7369D)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: AsianExpat on November 17, 2020, 01:06:22 AM
Biden won.

Trump lost.

Republicans are bitch ass crybabies.

End of thread.

Fuck off.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Humble Narcissist on November 17, 2020, 03:56:47 AM
Biden won.

Trump lost.

Republicans are bitch ass crybabies.

End of thread.

Fuck off.
Says a democrat who melted down for 4 years.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Thin Lizzy on November 17, 2020, 05:16:34 AM

Yes, the amount of fraud is akin to finding out the fight was fixed.

Wouldn’t be surprised.

In any event this was a bad bet. If you Bet Biden, things weren’t looking too good for you until the 4 o’clock am mysterious ballot drop and now you have to sweat out a month-long inquiry. That’s not easy money. Same deal had you bet Trump.

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: TheGrinch on November 17, 2020, 07:34:30 AM
Wouldn’t be surprised.

In any event this was a bad bet. If you Bet Biden, things weren’t looking too good for you until the 4 o’clock am mysterious ballot drop and now you have to sweat out a month-long inquiry. That’s not easy money. Same deal had you bet Trump.


Was just super strange if nothing else how 6 states in different time zones all with Trump leading by 100k's of votes.. all..... at the exact same time..... just stopped counting..

.. then everyone wakes up in the morning and supposedly while they stopped counting.... now.. Biden is somehow ahead ?


very strange even if everything is 100% legit
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Primemuscle on November 17, 2020, 11:21:30 AM

Was just super strange if nothing else how 6 states in different time zones all with Trump leading by 100k's of votes.. all..... at the exact same time..... just stopped counting..

.. then everyone wakes up in the morning and supposedly while they stopped counting.... now.. Biden is somehow ahead ?


very strange even if everything is 100% legit

Battleground states did not ‘stop counting’ votes on election night when Trump was ahead
IF YOUR TIME IS SHORT
None of the states cited in the post stopped counting votes altogether on Nov. 3.

Election officials in Fulton County, Ga., briefly paused counting ballots after a pipe burst at a facility in Atlanta. North Carolina stopped counting in-person votes once 100% of precincts were reported, but the state is still counting absentee ballots.

Delays in election results are due to an influx of mail-in ballots, spurred by the coronavirus pandemic.

See the sources for this fact-check

A winner of the presidential election wasn’t declared on Nov. 3, because several states that looked favorable for President Donald Trump "decided to stop counting" votes — that’s what Facebook users are contending.

A Nov. 4 post includes screenshots of purported election results in five battleground states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia, North Carolina and Wisconsin. Michigan is listed twice.

"Good morning! And welcome to the BS we all knew was coming," the caption says. "Trump is headed for a win, so six states just DECIDED TO STOP COUNTING in the wee hours for the first time in an election."

The post was flagged as part of Facebook’s efforts to combat false news and misinformation on its News Feed. (Read more about our partnership with Facebook.) We found dozens of similar claims using CrowdTangle, a social media insights tool.


As of 2:25 p.m. EST on Nov. 4, the Associated Press had called only Wisconsin in favor of Joe Biden, the Democratic challenger. None of the other states listed in the Facebook post had been decided. We reached out to the original poster for evidence to support their claim, but we didn’t hear back.

So we decided to take a closer look at whether the states cited in the Facebook post did stop counting ballots overnight on Nov. 3. The short answer is: They didn’t.
Election officials in Fulton County, Ga., briefly paused counting ballots after a pipe burst at a facility in Atlanta. North Carolina stopped counting in-person votes on
ce 100% of precincts were reported.

But none of the states stopped counting votes altogether — and there’s no evidence they tried to swing the results in favor of Biden.

In three states cited in the Facebook post — Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — election officials were not allowed to start tabulating mail-in ballots until Election Day or just before. That resulted in reporting delays overnight on Nov. 3, since mail ballots take more time to count than in-person votes.

"At no point has the counting process stopped since it began at 7 a.m. yesterday morning, which was when, per Michigan election law, it could begin," said Tracy Wimmer, director of media relations for Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson, referring to the morning of Nov. 3.

We reached out to election officials in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, but we haven’t heard back. Archived election results pages for both states show that they continued to count ballots overnight on Nov. 3. The Trump campaign announced Nov. 4 that it was filing a lawsuit to halt the counting of votes in Michigan until it's granted "meaningful access" to observe the tabulation process.

FEATURED FACT-CHECK

Election officials in Philadelphia County, a reliably Democratic part of Pennsylvania, told reporters Nov. 4 that they had counted about 141,000 mail-in ballots overnight, and that they still had more than 200,000 to go. As of 2:45 p.m. EST on Nov. 4, about 92% of precincts had reported their in-person votes, and about 41% of mail ballots were outstanding. Wisconsin officials said on the morning of Nov. 4 that they had counted all the ballots, and the AP called the state for Biden at 2:16 p.m. EST.

The situation in the South is a bit different. Georgia allowed election officials to count mail-in ballots before Election Day, but the state faced delays nonetheless.

In Fulton County, the state’s most populous county and home of Atlanta, absentee ballot counting was delayed by four hours after a burst water pipe caused flooding in State Farm Arena, where ballots were being processed. None of the ballots were damaged, but the incident put Fulton — a Democratic stronghold — behind in the vote-counting process. (As of 2:45 p.m. EST on Nov. 4, Fulton County was still counting ballots.)

"A small team of Fulton County Registration & Election workers continued to process absentee ballots overnight last night and a larger team began work at 8:30 a.m.," said Jessica Corbitt, director of external affairs for Fulton County. "Last night, 74,000 absentee ballots were tabulated (and) included in results. There are approximately 42,400 (ballots that) will be opened, scanned and adjudicated today … Work will continue until completed."

The only state that stopped counting votes overnight on Nov. 3 was North Carolina — but that doesn’t mean it’s done counting votes, and the halt had nothing to do with Trump being ahead in the state.

"North Carolina stopped counting votes on election night because there were no more votes to count at that time," said Patrick Gannon, public information director for the state Board of Elections.

In North Carolina, 100% of precincts have reported in-person votes, and the results show that Trump has a slight edge over Biden. But Gannon said county boards of election across the state will now begin counting provisional and absentee ballots that arrive by Nov. 12, as long as they’re postmarked by Election Day.

"Regardless of vote differentials, we never stop counting until all eligible votes are counted and added to the final results," he said. "The person who you are fact-checking clearly doesn’t understand how elections work."

The Facebook post is inaccurate. We rate it False.

This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp.

Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: SOMEPARTS on November 17, 2020, 11:45:09 AM
Attorney Sidney Powell stakes her entire reputation on proving this was a rigged election. She may lose this one even with plenty of evidence.

She has a pristine reputation and these are her words.



    #1 Powell: “There has been a massive and coordinated effort to steal this election from we the people of the United States of America, to delegitimize and destroy votes for Donald Trump, to manufacture votes for Joe Biden.”

    #2 Powell: “First of all, I never say anything I can’t prove… and President Trump won by not just hundreds of thousands of votes, but by millions of votes that were shifted by this software that was designed expressly for that purpose. We have sworn witness testimony of why the software was designed. It was designed to rig elections.”

    #3 Powell: “They also used an algorithm to calculate the votes they would need to flip, and they used computers to flip those votes from…Trump to Biden.”

    #4 Powell: “They had the algorithms. They had the paper ballots waiting to be inserted if and when needed. And notably, President Trump’s vote in the blue states went up enormously. That’s when they had to stop the vote count. They had to go in and replace votes for Biden and take away Trump votes.”

    #5 Powell: “They can watch the voting real time. They can run a computer algorithm on it as needed to either flip votes, take votes out or alter the votes to make a candidate win… It’s massive criminal voter fraud, writ large across at least 29 states… It’s obvious the algorithm and the statistics that our experts are tracking out are batches of votes and when the votes changed. It’s going to blow the mind of everyone in this country when we can get it all together and can explain it with the affidavits and the experts that have come forward.”

    #6 Powell: “Even their own manual explains how votes can be wiped away. They can put — it’s like drag-and-drop — Trump votes to a separate folder and then delete that folder.”

    #7 Powell: “In fact, we have got math in Michigan and Pennsylvania, I think it is, that, all of a sudden, hundreds of thousands of votes at a 67 percent ratio for Biden, 23 percent for Trump were uploaded multiple times into the system.”

    #8 Powell: “They did this on purpose, it was calculated, they’ve done it before. We have evidence from 2016 in California, we have so much evidence I feel like it’s coming in through a firehose.”

    #9 Powell: “It’s absolutely brazen how people bought the system, and why they bought the system.”

    #10 Powell: “In fact, every state that bought Dominion, for sure, should have a criminal investigation or at least a serious investigation of the federal — of the officers in the states who bought the software. We have even got evidence of some kickbacks, essentially.”

    #11 Powell: “…aware of substantial sums of money being given to family members of state officials who bought this software.”

    #12 Powell: “We’re getting ready to overturn election results in multiple states.”
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Humble Narcissist on November 17, 2020, 11:51:22 AM
To all getbig democrats, if this info is verified, will you support overturning the election?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Primemuscle on November 17, 2020, 12:03:35 PM
To all getbig democrats, if this info is verified, will you support overturning the election?

Sure, but it isn't true so it's not going to get verified. Sidney Powell stakes her reputation on the election being rigged. Will she disappear when she's proven wrong?

When her claims are proved false, will you support Biden's win?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Humble Narcissist on November 17, 2020, 12:06:07 PM
Sure, but it isn't true so it's not going to get verified.
No you wouldn't.  Politics is a team sport with fans wanting to win no matter what.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Thin Lizzy on November 17, 2020, 03:46:51 PM
Sure, but it isn't true so it's not going to get verified. Sidney Powell stakes her reputation on the election being rigged. Will she disappear when she's proven wrong?

When her claims are proved false, will you support Biden's win?

One of the main reasons I believe Trump will win in the end is you.

Like George Costanza, God will never let you be successful.


Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Primemuscle on November 17, 2020, 03:57:54 PM
One of the main reasons I believe Trump will win in the end is you.

Like George Costanza, God will never let you be successful.




And yet, I've had enormous success throughout my life. Just so you know, God doesn't care who will win in the end.  ;)
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Hulkotron on November 25, 2020, 09:50:31 AM
It seems Biden has won.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: TheGrinch on November 25, 2020, 09:55:08 AM
It seems Biden has won.

oh.. thats awesome..

what time was the Electoral College vote today?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: SOMEPARTS on November 25, 2020, 10:17:44 AM
oh.. thats awesome..

what time was the Electoral College vote today?


 8)


 ;D
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Agnostic007 on November 25, 2020, 09:14:38 PM
Can we all agree on Nov 26 that Biden has won? What's left at this point but more embarrassing Tweets by Trump?
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: harmankardon1 on November 25, 2020, 09:28:02 PM
And yet, I've had enormous success throughout my life. Just so you know, God doesn't care who will win in the end.  ;)

Enormous success? That's vince Goodrum level delusional there...
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: Methyl m1ke on November 25, 2020, 10:49:06 PM
Attorney Sidney Powell stakes her entire reputation on proving this was a rigged election. She may lose this one even with plenty of evidence.

She has a pristine reputation and these are her words.



    #1 Powell: “There has been a massive and coordinated effort to steal this election from we the people of the United States of America, to delegitimize and destroy votes for Donald Trump, to manufacture votes for Joe Biden.”

    #2 Powell: “First of all, I never say anything I can’t prove… and President Trump won by not just hundreds of thousands of votes, but by millions of votes that were shifted by this software that was designed expressly for that purpose. We have sworn witness testimony of why the software was designed. It was designed to rig elections.”

    #3 Powell: “They also used an algorithm to calculate the votes they would need to flip, and they used computers to flip those votes from…Trump to Biden.”

    #4 Powell: “They had the algorithms. They had the paper ballots waiting to be inserted if and when needed. And notably, President Trump’s vote in the blue states went up enormously. That’s when they had to stop the vote count. They had to go in and replace votes for Biden and take away Trump votes.”

    #5 Powell: “They can watch the voting real time. They can run a computer algorithm on it as needed to either flip votes, take votes out or alter the votes to make a candidate win… It’s massive criminal voter fraud, writ large across at least 29 states… It’s obvious the algorithm and the statistics that our experts are tracking out are batches of votes and when the votes changed. It’s going to blow the mind of everyone in this country when we can get it all together and can explain it with the affidavits and the experts that have come forward.”

    #6 Powell: “Even their own manual explains how votes can be wiped away. They can put — it’s like drag-and-drop — Trump votes to a separate folder and then delete that folder.”

    #7 Powell: “In fact, we have got math in Michigan and Pennsylvania, I think it is, that, all of a sudden, hundreds of thousands of votes at a 67 percent ratio for Biden, 23 percent for Trump were uploaded multiple times into the system.”

    #8 Powell: “They did this on purpose, it was calculated, they’ve done it before. We have evidence from 2016 in California, we have so much evidence I feel like it’s coming in through a firehose.”

    #9 Powell: “It’s absolutely brazen how people bought the system, and why they bought the system.”

    #10 Powell: “In fact, every state that bought Dominion, for sure, should have a criminal investigation or at least a serious investigation of the federal — of the officers in the states who bought the software. We have even got evidence of some kickbacks, essentially.”

    #11 Powell: “…aware of substantial sums of money being given to family members of state officials who bought this software.”

    #12 Powell: “We’re getting ready to overturn election results in multiple states.”

Shes both crazy and hot and shes loaded. Definitely top shelf poontang I bet she gets velvet after a few shots of tequila. I want her.
Title: Re: Election Prediction Thread - Biden vs. Trump - Who will win?
Post by: AbrahamG on November 27, 2020, 03:23:40 PM
Shes both crazy and hot and shes loaded. Definitely top shelf poontang I bet she gets velvet after a few shots of tequila. I want her.

Hot?  You are talking about Ms. Powell, correct?  Maybe in a Nurse Ratched sort of way.  The movie version not the Netflix series.   ;D
Happy Black Friday.